TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Olympics · resolved market

Men's Group A - Canada vs. Switzerland

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canadaof Canada, Switzerland
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$946,722
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,000,081

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $946,722 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Olympics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Switzerland10c184,417$17,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,821.732737%10 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Switzerland10c60,000$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,199.993616.7%6 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Switzerland11c49,651$5,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,362.081233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Switzerland9c44,369$3,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,904.777035.7%25 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Switzerland11c35,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,849.981225%3 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Switzerland10c34,034$3,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,403.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Switzerland5c28,341$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.134325.6%11 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Switzerland13c23,271$3,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,135.342944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Switzerland9c18,888$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.9812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-72.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Switzerland9c18,349$1,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,673.851127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Switzerland11c16,364$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8001520%3 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-45.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Switzerland13c14,409$1,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8811030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Switzerland11c14,263$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.56933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Switzerland3c13,761$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.923941%16 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Switzerland13c11,173$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.95714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-68.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2a5…55d6backed Switzerland10c10,400$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6985…afdfbacked Switzerland0c10,041$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Switzerland11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100120%0 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Switzerland11c6,236$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.9616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-69.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Switzerland10c5,249$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.151428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-56.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Switzerland10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Switzerland10c4,950$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-45.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed Switzerland16c4,688$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-46.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Switzerland10c4,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450100%0 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Switzerland3c4,491$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.072128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-55.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Switzerland10c4,162$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.151643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Switzerland10c3,969$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.11833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-34.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3395…7c66backed Switzerland12c3,836$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.35333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd9…1095backed Switzerland11c3,727$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Switzerland10c3,500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked Switzerland0c3,173$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Switzerland10c3,000$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2851723.5%4 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick16cpaid-27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Switzerland10c2,933$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.32548%12 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Switzerland12c2,874$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.35911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick36cpaid-57.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Switzerland11c2,727$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-58.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Switzerland11c2,273$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Switzerland12c2,192$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Switzerland10c2,012$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.53128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick28cpaid-89.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Switzerland8c1,997$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.77137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-83.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62e5…d72dbacked Switzerland11c1,977$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.5890%0 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Switzerland8c1,956$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.331233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-37.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf09f…05f9backed Switzerland14c1,797$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-66.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Switzerland5c1,594$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b40…b77abacked Switzerland12c1,550$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Switzerland10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick17cpaid-84.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Switzerland8c1,393$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.91020%2 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-55%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c90…cd7bbacked Switzerland2c1,376$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.031421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick14cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Switzerland12c1,366$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.15944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+67%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5781…bbfbbacked Switzerland10c1,182$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.17714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-68.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Switzerland11c1,164$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.04837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Switzerland10c1,110$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8396…a5f5backed Switzerland11c1,096$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8cc…e8c0backed Switzerland10c1,061$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Switzerland1c1,020$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.782448.2%20 W · 224 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-61.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Switzerland10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005516.4%9 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-70.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Switzerland10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100248.3%2 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-76.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9199…8861backed Switzerland11c936.36$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c03…811ebacked Switzerland10c909.6$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9630%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Switzerland3c861.06$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.361435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick25cpaid-12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31d7…42c1backed Switzerland15c856.29$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.28425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Switzerland15c836.81$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.52520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe761…6e67backed Switzerland5c811.93$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.81520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Switzerland11c810.41$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.142025%5 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Switzerland11c806.95$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.151323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Switzerland4c793$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+65.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Switzerland3c724.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.531855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x28dd…d936backed Switzerland8c705.66$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick15cpaid-83%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d52…d6babacked Switzerland2c700$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Switzerland4c629.73$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.66633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f95…17a8backed Switzerland4c600$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bc3…d183backed Switzerland9c560$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-79.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Switzerland10c510$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x778d…cbe2backed Switzerland10c492$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f6…8cc7backed Switzerland12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd67b…2394backed Switzerland12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick26cpaid-89.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ca5…b91cbacked Switzerland12c412.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-61.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Switzerland10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402825%7 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-33.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Switzerland11c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Switzerland10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5534…1064backed Switzerland11c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-72.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Switzerland11c386.81$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb646…9e14backed Switzerland7c345.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-64.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Switzerland7c327.08$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.072825%7 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-34.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Switzerland9c322.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.73650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Switzerland10c310$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e2…da93backed Switzerland10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc906…6e03backed Switzerland12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-74%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dbc…1a97backed Switzerland10c270$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10c1…9197backed Switzerland10c269.6$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea6a…3ee2backed Switzerland11c268.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.081526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed Switzerland10c263.14$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.31666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+73.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Switzerland8c251.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0369…76c7backed Switzerland4c245.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid-59.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x242e…9c15backed Switzerland6c239.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cfe…879dbacked Switzerland12c231.05$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.67520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-56%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8666…a368backed Switzerland11c229.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.22420.8%5 W · 19 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f1b…aa6cbacked Switzerland11c218.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked Switzerland11c214.72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.62540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-49.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ba8…697ebacked Switzerland10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0e8…40fabacked Switzerland10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.