Premier League · resolved market
AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb5aa6504189a90633148c50d9750be8e2bc81675d702867acb3261d7f313da7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0748…a31ebacked No | 39c | 7,407$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 30c | 4,421$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.56 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 64c | 4,128$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.01 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Yes | 65c | 3,097$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.58 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…c844backed Yes | 64c | 2,336$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 37c | 1,770$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.89 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 65c | 1,479$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.93 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 37c | 1,102$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.09 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 35c | 1,014$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.87 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…2525backed Yes | 63c | 999.87$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 80c | 932.08$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.74 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 63c | 847.24$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.8 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 63c | 750.79$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.79 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 60c | 526.27$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.51 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 37c | 502.1$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.41 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 36c | 401.5$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.54 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c3…9f0fbacked Yes | 64c | 331.25$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Yes | 62c | 321.73$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.26 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 32c | 311$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.48 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 61c | 300$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 136 | 56.6%77 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed5…753dbacked No | 38c | 266.93$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.43 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5642…d4cdbacked No | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…04bcbacked No | 40c | 249.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.65 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ff…6494backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…7aaabacked Yes | 62c | 110$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 37c | 108.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 37c | 83.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 60c | 74.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…facabacked Yes | 63c | 73.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Yes | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc906…6e03backed No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 36c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked No | 35c | 42.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889d…e36bbacked Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 38c | 32.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…807fbacked Yes | 63c | 30.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Yes | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…de60backed Yes | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37fa…1136backed Yes | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 62c | 20.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 64c | 18.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Yes | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55cd…5cccbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135c…0c80backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…1263backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.