TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$898,533
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$919,301

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $898,533 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over42c614,792$258,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356,679.723930.8%12 W · 27 L-7.7wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-39.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under58c155,000$89,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,9001450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c122,541$62,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,048.16,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under58c100,000$58,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,0005651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under58c100,000$58,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,00027750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under58c59,156$34,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,310.4324846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under58c57,612$33,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,421.661,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under57c41,072$23,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,495.112,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under59c35,000$20,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,6503548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over55c32,578$17,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,652.234,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under58c32,500$18,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,85035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over41c30,000$12,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,699.9911149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over41c19,540$8,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,528.8825551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under58c12,750$7,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,394.9919253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under60c11,040$6,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,593.442,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over41c9,000$3,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,31037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under58c7,777$4,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,510.6616851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Under0c7,604$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.216735.8%24 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under59c6,095$3,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,597.44755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5f…4b52backed Under69c6,085$4,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,225.794671.7%33 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick75cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under59c5,784$3,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,412.5621253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over40c4,999$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.6850644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over41c4,994$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,947.51,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over74c3,499$2,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.832846.4%13 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-33.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under59c3,185$1,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,878.9985048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under59c2,934$1,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,723.742,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa128…8d4bbacked Over67c2,834$1,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.412070%14 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over39c2,570$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.745936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Under60c2,500$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under74c2,314$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,712.3615772%113 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under61c1,328$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81012649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Under8c1,249$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.924914.3%7 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+76.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Under24c1,243$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.515154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under58c1,200$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.8852454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee39…59bfbacked Under76c1,186$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under58c1,086$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.8821056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under59c1,046$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.5833753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Under61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6105352.8%28 W · 25 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59026651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over58c862$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.046462.5%40 W · 24 L+10.8wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+44.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over60c852.98$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.0229044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over39c784.95$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.8274056.9%421 W · 319 L+46.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over71c700.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.932548%12 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Under60c700$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4202152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over34c650$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4298655.8%48 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x040b…f8a0backed Over41c602.71$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.61154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under60c600$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36011346%52 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29512642.9%54 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Under57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2856857.4%39 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002580%20 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+43%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under34c497.17$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.3696445.4%438 W · 526 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.824047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x195e…efc7backed Under46c456.89$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under39c410.5$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.491,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23239948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over65c399.96$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9930645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over61c388.52$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.529446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Under12c380.04$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under59c374$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.6672249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Over53c339.69$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.661533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under59c335.59$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19824844.4%110 W · 138 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over75c326.39$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.679732%31 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over71c316.9$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.94850%24 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under39c304$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.033951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Under63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18917544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2668…2c56backed Over41c288.24$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.061010%1 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-75.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa34…02c5backed Under61c270$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.72240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8e…27ffbacked Under68c269.63$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.464637%17 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa51b…b7fdbacked Under12c242.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over62c225.81$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8117161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed Under45c221.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010058%58 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7de…4d6dbacked Over43c215.28$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.574175.6%31 W · 10 L+6.4wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+32.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under31c207.34$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7842658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9215740.8%64 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927129.6%21 W · 50 L-12.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-38.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x203b…acd1backed Under10c196.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.646023.3%14 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over40c183.59$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.1622229.3%65 W · 157 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68e4…00bdbacked Over66c180.14$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.14650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Under56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007958.2%46 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over59c171$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1110252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6722244.1%98 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe1c9…748cbacked Under61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick72cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over41c147.54$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.0519244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6271…4ac6backed Over62c147.44$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.162250%11 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Under45c144$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8424146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Under70c142.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032164.5%207 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Under60c131.37$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.82837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x024f…5857backed Over77c129.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over71c118.27$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4189152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x22f6…6a9bbacked Under34c117.68$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-59.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb903…9942backed Under18c111.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over47c102.82$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8819853%105 W · 93 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6da…01cebacked Under60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3615353.6%82 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe16c…9d62backed Under71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-54.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6027748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6787…ff88backed Under14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5f…fc90backed Under13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Over32c96.88$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.883718.9%7 W · 30 L-7.2wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-47.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.