TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,800
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,337

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,800 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under16c11,897$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.186,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under43c5,293$2,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,263.062,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under37c2,255$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.642,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00023926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc97…7d32backed Over63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.32050%10 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.9960728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Over63c1,173$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.976435.9%23 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under41c1,144$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.062,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Over63c952.38$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.381844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.6524047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.6535428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over63c586$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.181,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under38c561.18$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.0422229.3%65 W · 157 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over51c526$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.7496645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over63c508.14$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1411448.2%55 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked Under39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19512042.5%51 W · 69 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2356…70b2backed Over63c479.02$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over72c462.86$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.7115060.7%91 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over61c454.01$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.0714456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under36c439.65$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.2852454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15637342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under31c353.53$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1087450%37 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under37c341$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.1772249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c3…9f0fbacked Over63c325.98$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.612161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over63c310.81$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1154850%24 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Over62c299.99$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11416453.7%88 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…699abacked Over63c277.4$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over73c272.81$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.816666.7%44 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under40c263.41$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3610838.9%42 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over52c257$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.3124146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd550…9228backed Under39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under37c200.01$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7425551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x188a…de60backed Under38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over64c168$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5530143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f51…41edbacked Over63c166.67$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.673154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7330059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under38c157.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6027748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Under13c154.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d59…31dcbacked Under37c150$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.53354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Under14c148$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7213727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90bb…1bdbbacked Under41c145.35$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over52c144.21$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2222244.1%98 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508161.7%50 W · 31 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5067…a127backed Under41c121.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick42cpaid+30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Under45c96.13$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2623435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58e4…d654backed Over63c83.54$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.914158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over62c82.47$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3450644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over63c79.81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5312647.6%60 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3592…c81abacked Over63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.37862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3755654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd885…c666backed Over63c79.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.362466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Over62c78.55$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.853735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-31.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under33c74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5289152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0319…8ef9backed Under50c74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over55c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.53633.3%12 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over60c66.66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6613045.4%59 W · 71 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b4…9d1ebacked Under39c61.87$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.13812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.32per pick44cpaid-64.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over74c57$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0939561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf057…d05ebacked Over53c54.11$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.433525.7%9 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Under37c54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.985538.2%21 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f0b…1db9backed Over54c52.07$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.95560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over63c50.33$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8715866.5%105 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Over63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.625349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f5…8797backed Over63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.627953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x450e…c1dfbacked Over63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.86361.9%39 W · 24 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Over63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6823741.8%99 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ec…aeaabacked Over63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.684753.2%25 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x608d…b753backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf226…9c0fbacked Over63c35.94$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.31656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2121143.1%91 W · 120 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bee…aa9ebacked Under38c35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.31136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Under38c33.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.628944.9%40 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52a4…7fe3backed Over61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.795952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50f7…7272backed Over63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.758763.2%55 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Over63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7536036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7528654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdafd…807fbacked Over63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.75862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.756354%34 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over54c31.13$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4124158.1%140 W · 101 L+34.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under39c30.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8722834.2%78 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa776…a17bbacked Over70c25.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.84100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+58.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4eb8…a474backed Over63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.812378.3%18 W · 5 L+5.4wins+0.24per pick55cpaid+43.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over59c23.16$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.551,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x857f…96ecbacked Over72c20.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.751070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over61c19.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.817053.5%91 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.