AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2cf862374bff472a0b193a6f0b2e289c8554708f878f8f426300f03ab9b7b78

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 24, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $76,324
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $83,739

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,324 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Under	58c	5,444$3,162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,161.78	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	68c	5,434$3,693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,693.19	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	39c	3,311$1,291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,020.05	4,768	41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over	60c	3,000$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	138	37%51 W · 87 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Over	40c	2,499$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,499.68	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0748…a31ebacked Under	43c	2,349$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.8wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over	25c	2,042$511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,531.5	459	36.2%166 W · 293 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Over	52c	1,700$881 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$819.2	111	42.3%47 W · 64 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed Under	61c	1,651$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over	50c	1,600$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	239	26.4%63 W · 176 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over	31c	1,499$465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,034.34	109	24.8%27 W · 82 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ee…f7a7backed Under	71c	1,482$1,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,054.26	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-3.0wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-23%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	35c	1,423$499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$924.67	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under	45c	1,323$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	43	67.4%29 W · 14 L	+4.0wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ee4…9f0cbacked Under	79c	1,266$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	14	85.7%12 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	77cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over	43c	579.94$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330.57	97	32%31 W · 66 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e16…9719backed Under	41c	490.73$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under	65c	386.49$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.22	74	50%37 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over	42c	383.64$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.51	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under	60c	366.11$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.33	86	55.8%48 W · 38 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Under	71c	333$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.43	48	60.4%29 W · 19 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	60c	300$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	306	45.8%140 W · 166 L	-11.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Over	22c	227.27$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.27	27	66.7%18 W · 9 L	+6.0wins	+0.22per pick	44cpaid	+64.9%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over	23c	225$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.33	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.40per pick	26cpaid	+132.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7d…5881backed Over	35c	210.97$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.97	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over	54c	203.7$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.7	110	53.6%59 W · 51 L	+11.1wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+2.9wins	+0.13per pick	32cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	78c	191.18$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.09	2,558	47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L	+44.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over	23c	173.91$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.91	353	28.6%101 W · 252 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7de…4d6dbacked Over	75c	170$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.5	41	75.6%31 W · 10 L	+6.4wins	+0.16per pick	60cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over	15c	166.67$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.67	222	44.1%98 W · 124 L	+19.0wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Over	40c	166.28$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.77	143	42.7%61 W · 82 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	62c	164.9$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.15	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b4f…0019backed Over	31c	162.26$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.26	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	61c	158.34$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.75	353	47.6%168 W · 185 L	-15.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over	45c	155.56$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.56	94	46.8%44 W · 50 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over	23c	141.19$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.19	85	36.5%31 W · 54 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f0b…1db9backed Over	58c	138.97$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.97	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa776…a17bbacked Over	43c	136$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.62	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+58.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over	45c	133.33$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.33	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1c9…748cbacked Under	79c	126.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	72cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa038…3fcbbacked Over	21c	119.05$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.05	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over	42c	119.05$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.05	160	45.6%73 W · 87 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked Over	80c	110$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	70	82.9%58 W · 12 L	+14.5wins	+0.21per pick	62cpaid	+37.7%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over	19c	110$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.1	373	42.6%159 W · 214 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over	33c	109.4$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.82	198	53%105 W · 93 L	+12.2wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dbe…b1b1backed Over	30c	104.5$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.5	122	50%61 W · 61 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6d…b3febacked Over	22c	100$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.46per pick	29cpaid	+189.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Under	79c	100$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	53	54.7%29 W · 24 L	-5.4wins	-0.10per pick	65cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Under	79c	100$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	172	55.2%95 W · 77 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5aab…1536backed Under	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ad7…c097backed Over	23c	95.65$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.65	36	19.4%7 W · 29 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Over	18c	93$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.54	55	38.2%21 W · 34 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4021…bfe6backed Under	79c	93$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.47	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.6wins	-0.78per pick	78cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	39c	91.18$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.37	724	42.7%309 W · 415 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Over	45c	88.89$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.89	65	47.7%31 W · 34 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Over	22c	87$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.86	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbbf…06d3backed Over	62c	80.65$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.65	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.12per pick	57cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0e9…8161backed Under	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over	35c	79.03$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.37	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1835…83afbacked Over	26c	77.12$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.12	92	46.7%43 W · 49 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	78c	76.43$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.62	277	48.7%135 W · 142 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc81…e072backed Under	27c	73.01$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-57%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over	21c	64$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.56	1,264	33.7%426 W · 838 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce2…0103backed Under	79c	62.15$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.1	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	+70.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc888…f2cebacked Under	40c	61.91$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.23per pick	57cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ac…f23dbacked Under	60c	54.34$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.6	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under	58c	53.99$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.23	891	52.9%471 W · 420 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Under	58c	53.57$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.21	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafdd…ae76backed Under	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbea…e77bbacked Under	40c	49.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.3wins	-0.25per pick	48cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xea51…83a0backed Over	62c	47.4$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.06	30	70%21 W · 9 L	+3.2wins	+0.11per pick	59cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	43c	46.2$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.56	734	58.6%430 W · 304 L	+47.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7e3…395cbacked Over	61c	45.9$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.9	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+7.2wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+35.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa695…c8a4backed Under	72c	40.28$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	65cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74e2…89a5backed Over	44c	40$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.31	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	58cpaid	+23%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over	42c	40$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.06	201	43.8%88 W · 113 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over	44c	34.09$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.09	65	53.8%35 W · 30 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb817…4fcfbacked Under	60c	33.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under	62c	32.93$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.32	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	-7.3wins	-0.15per pick	44cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc48d…8a40backed Under	79c	31.9$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	33	63.6%21 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Under	79c	31.65$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	95	41.1%39 W · 56 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Over	61c	30$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.7	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over	46c	26.66$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-4.0wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over	58c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.5	395	61.3%242 W · 153 L	-21.3wins	-0.05per pick	67cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb597…c241backed Over	44c	24.75$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.86	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.56per pick	44cpaid	+127.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecd6…5284backed Under	60c	23$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39d5…173dbacked Under	65c	21.51$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.92	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	70cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdb7…2765backed Over	61c	20.26$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.9	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+63.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcefc…e5e8backed Under	60c	20.15$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.09	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcf7…4307backed Under	57c	18.33$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.43	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	60cpaid	+27%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed Under	79c	14.22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.23	271	73.8%200 W · 71 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	76cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5this page
AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5Over won
AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Over won
AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event