Premier League · resolved market
AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x688a49086a54d21937e491067cf80a557e48be25319e88ec5582b70b6b4568b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 17c | 5,865$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.28 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Under | 1c | 4,746$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 16c | 1,499$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.8 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 79c | 1,012$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.54 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 998.02$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.56 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 16c | 953.48$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.56 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 16c | 749.14$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.86 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 18c | 465.89$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.86 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked Over | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 17c | 391$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.46 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 16c | 363.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…de60backed Under | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Under | 21c | 188.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30e…b2f1backed Under | 9c | 180$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 18c | 130$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 26cpaid | +132.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 74c | 116.92$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Over | 80c | 99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Over | 76c | 93.67$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 79c | 69.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…4aebbacked Over | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 79c | 29.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5this page
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.