Europa Conference League · resolved market
VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09b7372fba1748b871fcff1ab1216d63c3f2b0489a7385ae8512fadadc9b13dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $351,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $354,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $351,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Over | 59c | 299,068$175,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,824.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Under | 41c | 113,528$46,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,546.57 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 41c | 54,809$22,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,471.67 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 41,080$17,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,253.6 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 42c | 17,500$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 14,918$6,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,408.65 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 42c | 12,266$5,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,151.72 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 41c | 9,999$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.59 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 58c | 8,000$4,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 7,221$2,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,846.47 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 42c | 5,759$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418.89 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 42c | 3,698$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.45 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 3,547$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.53 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Over | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.98 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Over | 57c | 1,316$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.79 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 16c | 1,218$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.53 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 54c | 1,205$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.63 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 43c | 1,159$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 42c | 1,071$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Over | 57c | 1,060$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.8 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 2c | 954.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +69%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Over | 59c | 849.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 56c | 799.97$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.99 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 41c | 792.7$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.01 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Under | 44c | 601$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.79 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 42c | 450$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 42c | 450$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 49c | 366.54$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.02 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 42c | 363.61$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.96 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 42c | 360$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 42c | 350$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -12.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 45c | 349.99$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.49 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 42c | 312$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.04 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Over | 58c | 292.59$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.89 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 42c | 280$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 42c | 210.64$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.47 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Under | 49c | 204.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 51c | 204.07$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 42c | 194.5$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.01 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 53c | 193.46$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.31 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 42c | 190$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 42c | 180$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 42c | 170$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 42c | 170$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 42c | 170$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 42c | 170$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 42c | 170$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 48c | 170$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 42c | 170$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 42c | 160$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…8f40backed Under | 44c | 115.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 55c | 105.19$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 43c | 103$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 57c | 101.85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked Under | 47c | 99.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Under | 47c | 94.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 45c | 94.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Under | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Under | 20c | 82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 42c | 81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Under | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d36…14cebacked Under | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 47c | 76.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa41…f05dbacked Over | 55c | 71.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Over | 58c | 69.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2078…2d66backed Over | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b7…793dbacked Under | 42c | 60.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Under | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys: O/U 3.5this page
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys: O/U 1.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys: O/U 2.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.