Europa Conference League · resolved market
VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab13de4e3d871463971bc04f24a9c2206a25b80a2e9448290fe00ecdfafac985
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed Yes | 53c | 1,977$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.35 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 3c | 959.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +69%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 770.27$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.03 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 724.67$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.61 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed No | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 45c | 321.45$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.97 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8e…e61bbacked No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 54c | 217.39$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 204.88$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.06 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…ba97backed Yes | 55c | 189.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 45c | 174.73$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed No | 49c | 138$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed No | 48c | 130$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 56c | 123.53$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed No | 49c | 115$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Yes | 53c | 101.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed No | 49c | 101$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes | 56c | 95.16$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed No | 49c | 82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 54c | 73.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed No | 48c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed No | 45c | 43.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 57cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Yes | 51c | 39.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Yes | 52c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…81a9backed No | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Yes | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Yes | 52c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Yes | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed No | 50c | 33.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 52c | 32.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Yes | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Yes | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb0…f162backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 17 | 94.1%16 W · 1 L | +6.5wins | +0.38per pick | 56cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 55c | 26.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Yes | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Yes | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Yes | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys: O/U 1.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys: O/U 2.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys: O/U 3.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.