Europa Conference League · resolved market
VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9289d2fbde4611c7ad17c5d10b67e782e23ab8897698b3945263953a3807094
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 3,364$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.97 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 38c | 1,811$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.77 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 50c | 1,269$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.26 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 32c | 1,259$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.68 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 3c | 937.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +69%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 65c | 811.09$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.64 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 50c | 800.88$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 67c | 756.24$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.75 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Under | 41c | 560.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Over | 54c | 556$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 37c | 542.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.64 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over | 78c | 500$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 32c | 350$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -12.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 69c | 350$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.5 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 32c | 340$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.2 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 63c | 271.47$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.2 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 71c | 230.65$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 31c | 133.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 387 | 53%205 W · 182 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Over | 32c | 132$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 72c | 130.56$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 152 | 24.3%37 W · 115 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Over | 32c | 119$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 31c | 111.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Over | 32c | 107$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.76 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Under | 42c | 100.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 68cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Over | 32c | 90$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 34c | 81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked Over | 69c | 79.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…8cffbacked Over | 43c | 75.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 41c | 74.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed Under | 68c | 74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Over | 33c | 68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…a45bbacked Under | 31c | 67.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Under | 40c | 66.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Under | 40c | 65.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 69c | 63.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 147 | 41.5%61 W · 86 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Under | 69c | 63.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…0a4abacked Under | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Under | 51c | 61.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 65c | 61.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Over | 32c | 58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 76c | 53.76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 63c | 49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf6…c75bbacked Over | 54c | 44.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Over | 33c | 44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 59c | 39.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 76c | 39.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Under | 68c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Under | 68c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Under | 68c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.4wins | -0.34per pick | 65cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Under | 68c | 33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Under | 68c | 31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…353dbacked Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…6e76backed Under | 49c | 30.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1557…04afbacked Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked Under | 68c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 74cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Under | 68c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Under | 68c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 70c | 24.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0235…472ebacked Over | 65c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed Under | 68c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.47per pick | 67cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 65c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Under | 68c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Under | 68c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Under | 68c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 66c | 22.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Under | 68c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Under | 67c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 57cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed Under | 68c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed Under | 68c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 66c | 16.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys: O/U 4.5this page
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys: O/U 1.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys: O/U 2.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.