Europa Conference League · resolved market
VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa527bad699f0edb6ce233b9180a1924ae8f9db97d3d2db5431becf3d7b7a4802
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 75c | 2,257$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.99 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Under | 24c | 1,027$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.98 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 76c | 674.86$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.97 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 30c | 500$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.03 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 321.63$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.37 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0406…c5b3backed Over | 74c | 275$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 26c | 159$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 27c | 102$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e22…6f48backed Under | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 72c | 84.29$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Under | 27c | 64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Under | 26c | 64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 27c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Under | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Over | 74c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Over | 74c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Over | 73c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Over | 74c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 71c | 34.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Over | 73c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Over | 74c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 75c | 26.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Over | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Over | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Over | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Over | 73c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 76c | 22.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Over | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Over | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 76c | 20.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 75c | 20.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…47f8backed Over | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Over | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Over | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 74c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…6d13backed Over | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Over | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +37%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Over | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Over | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Over | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked Over | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys: O/U 2.5this page
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys: O/U 1.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys: O/U 3.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.