TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Betis Balompié vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$174,856
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$196,553

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,856 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Over53c65,039$34,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,718.331040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c38,233$17,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,896.261,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Under48c30,155$14,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,471.454852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under35c18,304$6,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,493.784,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c12,795$5,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,827.93,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80012648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over47c4,999$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,649.7130446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa128…8d4bbacked Over79c3,818$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.491392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick72cpaid+29.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under51c3,790$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,932.9124147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under50c3,512$1,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,766.9415443.5%67 W · 87 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4702846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4407353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a5…b620backed Over75c2,842$2,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.921872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over49c2,561$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.223956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.998457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Under52c2,300$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.982842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.7920054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under26c1,567$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.41,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3060…c709backed Over78c1,418$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.811586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb49e…31d7backed Under24c1,341$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under47c1,308$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.559743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee02…8132backed Under5c1,288$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.03150%0 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under49c1,222$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.9117455.2%96 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under49c1,150$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.54334.9%15 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over50c980.64$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.382548%12 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over52c975.37$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.1853246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over47c910$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.711037.3%41 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae05…a67ebacked Under57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over52c800$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38422552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under47c751.1$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.0242851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x714a…9dacbacked Over79c722.71$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.772055%11 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0326545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over50c535$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.518650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Under48c511$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.282638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.475547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Under20c508.17$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.766950.7%35 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17523255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over52c492.74$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.662,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under54c488.65$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.873050%15 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over50c483.32$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.531,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over43c475.56$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.075145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked Under48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over49c405.1$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.17850%39 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Under24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under53c349.99$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.4914647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa60a…1613backed Over77c337.41$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fa0…aa66backed Over75c333.33$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.331457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over58c311.51$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.511442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14419750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14435054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14112951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Over52c294.23$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.216756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over52c290.97$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.9711444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40a1…d943backed Under52c290.38$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-46.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Over59c286.29$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.431450%7 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over52c270$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.627652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc385…8eb0backed Over79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.164463.6%28 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12029053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12018152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12021849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over38c245.43$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.8983939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Over42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.113958.3%81 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Under53c236.98$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.63330.3%10 W · 23 L-6.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-41%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over52c230$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.414244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over52c225$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10815250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98c1…3d1ebacked Over46c215.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.24862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe72…cf52backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+29.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f51…41edbacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10016745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985448.1%26 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9211929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed Over63c200$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755961%36 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f37…acacbacked Over50c189.8$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+81.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked Over53c188.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.911060%6 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+67.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over53c188.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.613043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over52c180$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.416151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over52c180$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.49649%47 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over57c176$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.685056%28 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over58c171.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6922553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under44c159.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.451,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over74c155.84$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5134050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over47c149.54$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.268732.2%28 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Under49c140$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00fa…5ce9backed Over77c130.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.13425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76c3…4b14backed Over52c130.43$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.043100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over77c130$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.95967.8%40 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb702…6bcfbacked Over78c130$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.62944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb160…5185backed Over64c124.09$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.619352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.69247.8%44 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.621051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.67951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.620652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.611952.9%63 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.67045.7%32 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.