La Liga · resolved market
Real Betis Balompié vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a00ba69abadaaf2afc8363303a8e99049f658859355017423912e8f71bbd7af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 2,615$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.09 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 668.45$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.6 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcead…ded7backed Yes | 53c | 236.47$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ee…bbbabacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb44…2fafbacked No | 51c | 195.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed No | 47c | 176.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…390bbacked Yes | 52c | 169.52$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 52c | 158.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 45c | 144.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 48c | 124.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Yes | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Yes | 51c | 96.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…4bfabacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 46c | 88.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…1bdfbacked Yes | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 46c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 44c | 53.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…4e25backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…7dcbbacked Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e1…e453backed Yes | 52c | 44.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 46c | 44.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 45c | 39.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 163 | 42.3%69 W · 94 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6662…3503backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Yes | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd3…8f1abacked Yes | 56c | 28.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 55c | 22.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f9…6e1dbacked Yes | 52c | 22.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Valencia CF: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.