La Liga · resolved market
Real Betis Balompié vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0be6e49cf1ded98535c06029668a416cf3b0d464d8a197831348294ff110b6af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 61c | 3,965$2,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3766…a0e4backed Over | 42c | 1,910$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 62c | 1,682$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 44c | 1,496$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.87 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 1,355$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.2 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 796.13$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.26 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 28c | 600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c3…4b14backed Under | 60c | 481.82$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 70c | 469.3$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.06 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Over | 22c | 453.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 27c | 417.53$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 69c | 380.99$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.11 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 43c | 372.09$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 30c | 333.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…ef3abacked Over | 31c | 263.9$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…8885backed Under | 71c | 262.16$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 49c | 204.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Under | 66c | 180.81$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…fde6backed Over | 42c | 171.43$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over | 30c | 162.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 36c | 152$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 32c | 134.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 27.2%31 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 65c | 131.4$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…5ce9backed Over | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 23c | 123.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1741…6f97backed Under | 41c | 123$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 13c | 122.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 16c | 115.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 40c | 112.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 30.4%58 W · 133 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…7eacbacked Over | 38c | 92.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 71c | 91$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 42c | 76.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 63c | 71.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 29c | 71.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Over | 37c | 63.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 38c | 52.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe575…8b12backed Over | 41c | 51.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 32c | 47.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 56c | 41.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 174 | 55.2%96 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a39…bf2abacked Under | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b4…15e3backed Under | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Valencia CF: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.