Asian League · resolved market
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacc8bcd8eb962f7be8ffca350947d4d471af3c1870b27d21b9b80fe93d169c26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b30…99cdbacked Under | 0c | 18,627$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 45c | 11,022$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,021.72 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 10,601$5,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,361.89 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 7,140$3,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,671.79 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 50c | 3,245$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.34 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 1,841$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.2 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 1,260$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.71 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Under | 49c | 1,053$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 55c | 1,031$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.21 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 41c | 850$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.5 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 52c | 599$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.37 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 54c | 444$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.76 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Under | 50c | 401.06$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 335$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.5 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 63c | 318.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.54 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 48c | 299.91$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.95 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Under | 4c | 297.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 42c | 261.83$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.25 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 37c | 255.39$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 41c | 179.16$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.16 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 56c | 150.04$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Over | 56c | 131.36$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 48c | 121.4$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 44c | 114.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 45c | 96.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 50c | 93.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 49c | 89.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e2…89a5backed Over | 50c | 86.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 60c | 64.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 50c | 62.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Over | 45c | 56.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 42c | 47.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…0546backed Under | 54c | 40.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba1b…82fdbacked Under | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -41%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 54c | 37.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 58c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 53c | 29.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Over | 51c | 26.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 54c | 25.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…ccc1backed Over | 56c | 21.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Over | 61c | 21.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc906…6e03backed Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Under | 58c | 17.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.