Asian League · resolved market
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2212c8f449b02f7fd8d7ce8f4a56c4c5ddb8894b3f51397556fab9cab08aa1bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb54c…8affbacked Over | 0c | 4,980$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3a…46c1backed Over | 1c | 1,056$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 70c | 767.85$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.13 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 749.24$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.08 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 15c | 667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 23c | 602.51$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.26 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 76c | 538.47$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.92 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 12c | 521.04$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.67 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 76c | 452.57$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.89 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 227.36$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.77 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 38c | 222.26$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.74 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 38c | 105.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 30c | 103.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…a813backed Under | 79c | 99.7$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 28c | 92.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Under | 74c | 90.46$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 24c | 87.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Over | 32c | 84.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 70c | 61.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 54c | 59.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 24c | 57.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 74c | 55.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 62c | 43.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Over | 26c | 38.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked Under | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…7ab1backed Under | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Under | 77c | 33.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Under | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b8…2dd5backed Under | 59c | 25.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Under | 78c | 24.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 67 | 86.6%58 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 77cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c34…7ef3backed Under | 65c | 20.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Under | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…0546backed Under | 76c | 16.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 70c | 15.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.