Asian League · resolved market
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52a76cbd6130e68d8ba18e846ca9a2df20a2e80bfd11f9dba1ba3cc3eb29dc0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 2,509$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.07 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 44c | 1,134$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.96 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 49c | 499.09$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.21 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Yes | 54c | 332.94$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.79 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 254.61$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 46c | 232.63$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.94 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 55c | 228.88$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.89 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 42c | 163.67$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 30c | 126.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 46c | 116.32$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 52c | 100.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…4c8cbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 52c | 77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 44c | 74.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 43c | 65.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 53c | 42.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Yes | 47c | 41.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…46bbbacked Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…9d8bbacked Yes | 53c | 39.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Yes | 52c | 38.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Yes | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 52c | 22.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.