Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dc031f5841e14aad9abf096314d39d611d8fcf8a0bd10c0ac0bc9423bf7a4f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tottenham Hotspur FCof Newcastle United FC, Tottenham Hotspur FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 79c | 6,892$5,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Newcastle United FC | 21c | 4,640$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.98 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 73c | 4,429$3,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.66 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Newcastle United FC | 21c | 1,789$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.49 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Newcastle United FC | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7d…effebacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 78c | 1,281$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Newcastle United FC | 22c | 1,250$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 67c | 1,100$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 78c | 930.22$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.65 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Newcastle United FC | 22c | 909.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Newcastle United FC | 29c | 734.97$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.01 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Newcastle United FC | 41c | 729.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 77c | 672.35$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.36 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 78c | 642$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.24 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…0019backed Newcastle United FC | 23c | 526.09$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Newcastle United FC | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Newcastle United FC | 21c | 374.25$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.59 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Newcastle United FC | 32c | 310.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.42 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Newcastle United FC | 22c | 272.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Newcastle United FC | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 89 | 27%24 W · 65 L | -11.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 67c | 219.02$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Newcastle United FC | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 79c | 171.01$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Newcastle United FC | 23c | 169.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 69c | 130.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 66c | 125.81$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed Newcastle United FC | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Newcastle United FC | 41c | 122.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…9287backed Newcastle United FC | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Newcastle United FC | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Newcastle United FC | 21c | 101.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…2b56backed Newcastle United FC | 23c | 92.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Newcastle United FC | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Newcastle United FC | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Newcastle United FC | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Newcastle United FC | 27c | 63.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb628…be65backed Newcastle United FC | 22c | 63.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…c5fdbacked Newcastle United FC | 24c | 62.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ce…26c2backed Newcastle United FC | 21c | 62.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9de…bd0abacked Newcastle United FC | 21c | 61.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d9…4007backed Newcastle United FC | 21c | 59.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d3…1e71backed Newcastle United FC | 21c | 56.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Newcastle United FC | 30c | 55.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…f99fbacked Newcastle United FC | 38c | 52.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 79c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 80c | 40.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Newcastle United FC | 27c | 37.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd06d…fdf4backed Newcastle United FC | 43c | 36.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 70c | 27.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 78c | 26.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 78c | 25.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff0a…8b4ebacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 79c | 23.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 73c | 23.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…041ebacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 79c | 21.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b7…7611backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 77c | 21.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6765…5478backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 80c | 21.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa87…1ab8backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 77c | 21.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +273.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc762…95f0backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 80c | 21.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83f9…6a45backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 80c | 21.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cf…216cbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 80c | 21.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…2f1bbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 80c | 20.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…5bf1backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 80c | 20.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e67…a1f3backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 80c | 20.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2576…0670backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 80c | 19.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…0b3fbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 77c | 19.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…e7aabacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 80c | 19.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc14…b8efbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 80c | 19.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d0…e7d8backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 80c | 18.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ca…b6dbbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 79c | 18.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6d…2427backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 80c | 15.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.