Asian League · resolved market
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f601ee15d2f02daedc76424cb2c2d2f49e3d1aaf20f7ba4cd2cbadd52d89e83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,600 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 56c | 1,899$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.63 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 56c | 1,605$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.78 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 47c | 898.32$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.21 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 25c | 872.34$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.56 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 856.66$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.64 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 51c | 572.17$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.79 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…305ebacked Yes | 57c | 459.21$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…6d4bbacked Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 391.79$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.85 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fed…1a5cbacked Yes | 55c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 67c | 154.21$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 26c | 146.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 38c | 130.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed No | 36c | 124.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80a…1a43backed Yes | 25c | 104$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa283…18dcbacked No | 40c | 94.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 29c | 79.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d04…19f6backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +195.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 29c | 66.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdc…a9afbacked Yes | 69c | 65.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 33c | 55.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 28c | 54.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…591abacked Yes | 75c | 53.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Yes | 67c | 52.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 26c | 50.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 42c | 46.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d1…356dbacked Yes | 66c | 30.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0b…f954backed Yes | 78c | 28.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 63c | 28.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked No | 66c | 25.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked Yes | 71c | 25.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +441.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed No | 58c | 19.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Yes | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf320…bd1cbacked Yes | 70c | 15.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 74c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.