Asian League · resolved market
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ecff2a9169816aa598f2584f9ef6cd34f12f9bce3c629a8d4ad560c146e33bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,431 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 6,037$4,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.37 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 25c | 2,488$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.21 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 29c | 1,741$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 39c | 1,128$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.18 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 58c | 1,051$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.66 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 17c | 819.17$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.97 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b7…125cbacked Yes | 43c | 802.44$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6795…9518backed Yes | 16c | 626.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 542.82$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.75 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 59c | 320.68$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.48 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519a…b2f7backed Yes | 43c | 232.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 29c | 207$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…59c2backed Yes | 22c | 203.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 16c | 194.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 39c | 192.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…cf64backed Yes | 16c | 179.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa283…18dcbacked Yes | 21c | 151.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed Yes | 20c | 147.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 41c | 121$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed No | 73c | 102.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 33c | 102.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 23c | 97.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 13c | 86.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb80a…1a43backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 29c | 59.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Yes | 35c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 76c | 44.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 75c | 40.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked Yes | 33c | 34.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +441.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 34c | 31.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 60c | 30.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34af…b672backed No | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked No | 67c | 20.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 20.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.