Asian League · resolved market
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1b8377fc53e98f977d52e7e5e5f968e94e07132db202244bb6f930a9540592e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,236 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 2,081$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.85 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 32c | 2,045$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.2 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3097…a2cabacked No | 67c | 1,569$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +159.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d2…6b85backed Yes | 33c | 1,567$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked No | 69c | 1,450$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.6 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Yes | 15c | 1,097$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…305ebacked Yes | 67c | 1,042$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 1,033$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.6 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa455…3ef0backed Yes | 41c | 924.59$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 19c | 553.58$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.94 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Yes | 63c | 532.13$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.24 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 55c | 512$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 21c | 478.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 50c | 437.2$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.7 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 435.21$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.65 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 38c | 372.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.71 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…6d4bbacked Yes | 65c | 306.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4747…2987backed Yes | 34c | 292.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdc…a9afbacked Yes | 63c | 282.54$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed No | 39c | 279.25$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 32cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked No | 37c | 241.33$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.33 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 32c | 217.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…c3bbbacked Yes | 48c | 208.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Yes | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 63c | 192.98$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…b47dbacked Yes | 6c | 177.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 13c | 159.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 58c | 157.18$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…7e68backed Yes | 64c | 156.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 18c | 141.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed No | 45c | 130$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb80a…1a43backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 32c | 123.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes | 62c | 120.69$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 59c | 119.4$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 18c | 119$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 21c | 118.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 35c | 117.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked Yes | 12c | 102.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a7…a593backed Yes | 67c | 101.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fed…1a5cbacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Yes | 60c | 99.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Yes | 11c | 91.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 27c | 90.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed Yes | 17c | 88.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 42c | 75.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa283…18dcbacked No | 74c | 69.37$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe032…410ebacked Yes | 48c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4868…c8d1backed Yes | 43c | 62.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 34c | 59.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 39c | 54.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 31c | 49.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…4d9dbacked Yes | 36c | 46.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed No | 38c | 42.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…5971backed Yes | 34c | 41.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked No | 64c | 40.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes | 62c | 38.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 34c | 37.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Yes | 41c | 34.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Yes | 41c | 28.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a75…8319backed No | 68c | 26.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 62c | 25.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x984a…2726backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 60c | 24.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c28…f16abacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 63c | 16.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.