TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x984a…2726

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
364
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Weather, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 59 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT15739.5%62 W · 95 L+0.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 157 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$52.5
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$49.34
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$39.4
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.07
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advancebacked Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Showing 25 of 157 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT11266.1%74 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 112 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$26.67
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.73
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.17
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.19
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.92
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.19
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.61
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.93
Grizzlies vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.37
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.61
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.02
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.76
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.31
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.91
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.98
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.31
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.63
Showing 25 of 112 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Hurricanes vs. Lightningbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
Blues vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Oilers vs. Avalanchebacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Golden Knights vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Hurricanes vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Predators vs. Starsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Blackhawks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Devils vs. Bluesbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+71%+$71.01
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$47.39
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$6.91
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$233.06
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+91.7%+$56.86
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+455.6%+$60.36
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+39.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.62
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$85.13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$75.86
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+116.9%+$46.78
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+205.6%+$41.12
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-54.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+192.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+331%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$25.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Delaware State Hornets vs. Morgan State Bearsbacked Delaware State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.96
Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Bellarmine Knightsbacked Bellarmine Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+37%+$7.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.5
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+45.7%+$27.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$24.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.