Australian A League · resolved market
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c8fa429e892c0e30c80648c82cd8d8148063f786ef92f733482ceafebf0c1c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,455 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Yes | 49c | 86,000$41,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,099.95 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked No | 51c | 48,427$24,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,858.02 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 51c | 26,018$13,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,367.96 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 51c | 19,608$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 50c | 15,948$8,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,895.14 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 51c | 13,725$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed No | 2c | 8,047$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.07 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed No | 51c | 7,450$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.5 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 48c | 5,869$2,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,043.85 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 73c | 4,245$3,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.26 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yes | 72c | 4,200$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 2,455$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.96 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed No | 1c | 2,077$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 54c | 1,813$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.57 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.66 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 77c | 1,552$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.11 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 16c | 1,494$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.25 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 79c | 1,400$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.54 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 13c | 1,400$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 48c | 1,300$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Yes | 51c | 1,185$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.58 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +63%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 48c | 1,142$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.67 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd4…5faabacked No | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 50c | 975.98$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.45 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 50c | 950.71$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.36 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 873.37$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.72 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 26c | 842.79$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.91 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked Yes | 78c | 702.67$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.52 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…14f5backed Yes | 50c | 666$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked Yes | 78c | 600.79$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.26 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 21c | 600.11$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.54 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 46c | 573.02$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.69 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 24c | 543.93$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.44 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked No | 52c | 529.08$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.12 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 4c | 496.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 22c | 424$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.02 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…dbfabacked Yes | 49c | 399.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 55c | 320.68$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.98 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555a…6ee2backed Yes | 73c | 316.84$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Yes | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 47c | 294.08$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 48c | 284$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.68 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 48c | 244.04$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.72 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 23c | 207$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb9…0f15backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 37cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3a…b960backed Yes | 53c | 201.36$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 54c | 199.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.99 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 50c | 199.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.7 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 56c | 191$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.73 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Yes | 54c | 184.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.08 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…db9dbacked No | 28c | 179.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed No | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 30c | 168.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…d491backed Yes | 70c | 167.17$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Yes | 49c | 148.75$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.59 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 52c | 145.8$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.35 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 36c | 134.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 45c | 131.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +8.1wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 45c | 122.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 24c | 108.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 49c | 108$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 49c | 97.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.57 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed No | 30c | 96.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 21c | 95.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…c634backed Yes | 73c | 91.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Yes | 49c | 88.35$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 23c | 85.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -13.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 50c | 79.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 24c | 79.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Yes | 51c | 79.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Yes | 51c | 78.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…a2efbacked Yes | 73c | 75.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 55c | 73.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…cfc3backed Yes | 55c | 73.96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Yes | 74c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed No | 51c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…71e6backed No | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 47c | 66.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Yes | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…855fbacked Yes | 54c | 54.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 55c | 53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed No | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 74c | 46.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 50c | 46.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 53c | 44.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 79c | 43.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-03-15?No won
- Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Macarthur FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.