South American Leagues · resolved market
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1142376a33b40f9c2e828b820bf75f6ff309ece1282cd57ac49b9a9a298846c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,423 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Over | 48c | 48,718$23,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,359.82 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 52c | 17,830$9,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,540.65 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 11,259$5,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,498.01 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 6,135$3,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.09 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 3,982$2,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.85 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 1,988$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.24 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 51c | 1,700$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.31 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +39%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Under | 58c | 1,563$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.49 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.64 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 35c | 1,344$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.59 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 52c | 1,185$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.86 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 50c | 868.67$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.87 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 48c | 773.3$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.19 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 715.37$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.57 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Under | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…591abacked Under | 52c | 567.68$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.09 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 529.33$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.99 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…3b8bbacked Under | 52c | 510.8$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 50c | 444$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 47c | 425$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.75 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over | 70c | 411.43$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 14c | 403.18$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 66c | 299.68$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…ade4backed Under | 52c | 298.83$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.44 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 47c | 281.66$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.38 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 52c | 225.6$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.74 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…3f87backed Over | 52c | 207.45$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Under | 52c | 199.77$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.89 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 59c | 199.1$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.63 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 53c | 190.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.35 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…d507backed Under | 51c | 182.82$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.12 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +4.9wins | +0.37per pick | 55cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf320…bd1cbacked Under | 51c | 181.63$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 52c | 175$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 52c | 175$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 52c | 174.11$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.57 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 52c | 150$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 147.35$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.43 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 51c | 141.04$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.93 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 52c | 140$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 52c | 134.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.49 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 52c | 129.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 52c | 115$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…56abbacked Under | 52c | 106.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 49c | 105.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 47c | 105.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 51c | 105.82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Under | 52c | 105$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758e…ad1cbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…1678backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e5…3c0abacked Under | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 51c | 98.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38ea…95d1backed Under | 51c | 98.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 50c | 97.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x289c…79bcbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 69c | 87.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 41c | 80.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Under | 54c | 77.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.30per pick | 51cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 69c | 76.12$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 52c | 73.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…44dbbacked Under | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 35c | 71.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Under | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617e…4814backed Over | 70c | 66.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked Over | 31c | 66.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 54c | 65.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Under | 21c | 64.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.61 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed Over | 41c | 63.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5this page
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Grêmio FBPA: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 1.5Over won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 3.5Under won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-1.5)Associação Chapecoense de Futebol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.