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Premier League · resolved market

West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$880,585

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $880,585 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3333…15bdbacked Over56c209,609$117,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92,433.88757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under44c153,310$67,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,456.2313748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd29…77aebacked Over54c53,364$28,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,793.151241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c33,700$15,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,350.986,22545.6%2,836 W · 3,389 L-34.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under44c22,452$9,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,957.951750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Under46c16,385$7,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,615.531723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-58.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under45c14,832$6,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,745.9435652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5005655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Under45c8,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,600333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over56c6,369$3,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,773.4415534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under48c6,204$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,950.429272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Under46c5,023$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,309.7518433.7%62 W · 122 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Over56c4,203$2,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.825345.3%24 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over54c3,704$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.715757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Over51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4706100%6 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+96.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1dc8…da92backed Over53c2,941$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-42.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under46c2,892$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.2232037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.847357.5%42 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Over51c1,997$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.992050%10 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Under51c1,958$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8edf…7eadbacked Under44c1,800$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2840…fb26backed Over57c1,768$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.61837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick63cpaid-42%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70533057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under45c1,444$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6509153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under29c1,248$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.9216024.4%39 W · 121 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over54c1,132$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.1828242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222d…40b9backed Under4c1,101$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over53c1,040$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.317847.4%37 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36c0…5930backed Under44c962.96$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.7728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-45.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x968d…6947backed Under46c931$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.26475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+54.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under44c879.75$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.9620758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under44c765.49$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.282536%9 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under45c717.11$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.74755.3%26 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Over54c681.94$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.6427141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c629.57$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.834,89241.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L+25.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47f…d792backed Over54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2762759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Under47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2357268.1%49 W · 23 L+13.8wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+42%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18836956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under46c365.92$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.7639052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Under45c323.74$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.894551.1%23 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Over56c295.85$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.7910448.1%50 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under45c273.92$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5223250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Over54c231.48$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.485160.8%31 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under47c210$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.719357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under45c200.96$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2249753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.193056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under46c182.73$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.216357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8231746.1%146 W · 171 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over51c174.55$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5396843.8%424 W · 544 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over54c170.39$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3819942.2%84 W · 115 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ae5…f4cabacked Under12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x979d…87dcbacked Under44c160.18$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4830%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under44c153.3$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.457651.3%39 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under45c150$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.48259.8%49 W · 33 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.565857.8%380 W · 278 L+26.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.535056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.559958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.560857.4%349 W · 259 L+25.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c145.63$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9956255.2%310 W · 252 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8891…6eedbacked Under46c132.81$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0940%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under48c132.16$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1146660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad57…b8d3backed Under44c131.75$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.974163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8374…6768backed Under46c130$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.81030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Over54c129.63$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.631827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under47c125$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7537557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Under46c103.2$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.473540%14 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4546943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under47c90$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.332357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc274…6d59backed Over55c87.27$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.276144.3%27 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under47c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.617138.6%66 W · 105 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over54c77.78$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7841042%172 W · 238 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Under46c76.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1810540%42 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfd6…05cbbacked Under47c74.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352560%15 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+25.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under49c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.336758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked Under47c70$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.915861.4%97 W · 61 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Under47c70$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.917464.9%113 W · 61 L+16.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under48c69.49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6933156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over60c62.89$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.973839.5%15 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.232255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.233057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.232656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.232755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.456158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.438358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.231557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.232158.6%188 W · 133 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30ab…f338backed Under44c58.51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.791323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-54.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc6ad…e759backed Under45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0338…6562backed Under46c55.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.461266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under45c53.11$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.912236.1%44 W · 78 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x584c…0da9backed Under45c53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.04616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-71.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Under46c52.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245438.9%21 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.529657.8%171 W · 125 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.536259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13b5…2c2cbacked Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235549.1%27 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under45c49.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6631359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44b2…03acbacked Under33c45.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Under33c43.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.311030%3 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.