Premier League · resolved market
West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc77526f9b60998ba96bff58ef51c86199139ab2262fbd129518e83d6554a730
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,548 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 18,011$7,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,470.03 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 46c | 6,320$2,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,412.8 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Over | 49c | 1,500$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 31c | 1,499$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.49 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 34c | 1,394$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.35 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Over | 78c | 1,340$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 65c | 783.33$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.17 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Under | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 77c | 453.76$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.88 | 417 | 60.2%251 W · 166 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3227…5df7backed Under | 66c | 417.54$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 35c | 407.18$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…6865backed Under | 56c | 275.27$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.15 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Under | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…1618backed Over | 34c | 142.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…32c9backed Over | 34c | 142.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 15c | 138.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 19c | 135.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ed48backed Over | 34c | 131.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Under | 69c | 117.87$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.33 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 43c | 89.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf12…569cbacked Under | 22c | 89.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2958…3974backed Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 34c | 73.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 409 | 42.1%172 W · 237 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 66c | 64.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…f943backed Under | 18c | 59.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Over | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e3…a8cabacked Under | 23c | 51.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 42c | 49.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac5…fdaabacked Over | 64c | 47.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 44c | 47.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562e…922bbacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 48c | 41.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | +47.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 62c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…e37cbacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.7wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -71%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5654…3fa2backed Under | 44c | 27.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…1fa8backed Under | 38c | 27.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33be…800cbacked Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cae…db7fbacked Under | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…013fbacked Under | 56c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 59c | 23.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Under | 69c | 21.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 80c | 15.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)West Ham United FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
- West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.