Premier League · resolved market
West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x391168e27d55f4827c069b0163f5d75ac4124e06ecc2c4b4bd4fb05e6aa74fac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,513 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 17,014$8,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,345.33 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 53c | 15,784$8,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,348.39 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +5.8wins | +0.26per pick | 55cpaid | +55%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 1c | 3,627$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +125%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Over | 42c | 2,634$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.95 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 58c | 2,588$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.85 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 14c | 1,249$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.91 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 15c | 740$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 49c | 529.35$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Over | 51c | 440.38$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x140d…a937backed Over | 73c | 411.08$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.36per pick | 45cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 17c | 354.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 24c | 330.07$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.17 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25fc…44e9backed Under | 43c | 312.44$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Under | 59c | 265$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.7 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 261.66$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.9 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 65c | 244.01$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.81 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x084e…71d6backed Over | 54c | 185.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 35c | 140.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 15c | 127$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 14c | 119.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…1fa8backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Over | 61c | 80.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 31c | 72.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…6d59backed Over | 64c | 71.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd2…7b9abacked Over | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5247…55f2backed Under | 65c | 66.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 51c | 65.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 39c | 59.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 16.5%14 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 189 | 63%119 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Under | 64c | 47.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Under | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 62c | 39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…013fbacked Under | 70c | 29.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…f943backed Under | 40c | 27.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 50c | 27.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…6f21backed Under | 63c | 23.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 50c | 21.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…adbabacked Over | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Under | 72c | 15.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)West Ham United FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
- West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.