Premier League · resolved market
West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73b9a88edccc4b31368bea845cb375cffde8841f59e68dcaf31f26d4f2380545
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,559 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 80c | 5,301$4,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.36 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 20c | 4,355$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.09 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Over | 79c | 2,605$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.17 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 80c | 2,507$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.4 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 20c | 2,222$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.4 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 20c | 2,016$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.05 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 1,071$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.23 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 22c | 970.73$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.66 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 80c | 311.25$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 77c | 256$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.64 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 76c | 249.27$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b2…03acbacked Under | 10c | 202.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a0…ba20backed Under | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Under | 22c | 70.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 20c | 67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 23c | 59.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72e3…a8cabacked Under | 23c | 48.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 77c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 80c | 27.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f02…a5f5backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…5863backed Over | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Over | 77c | 15.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)West Ham United FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
- West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.