TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-03-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$176,657

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,657 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Yes59c17,154$10,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,096.221,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No33c14,460$4,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,776.555,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No11c13,452$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,522.148,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No30c7,632$2,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,270.6116543.6%72 W · 93 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No33c6,964$2,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,282.261,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f98…c81abacked Yes74c6,759$5,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0457…4403backed Yes50c5,775$2,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,910.14666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c4,182$2,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,084.563,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes50c3,900$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95019846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No51c3,861$1,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,972.91,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No22c3,232$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.9828651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3497…812bbacked Yes71c2,831$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.53875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+37.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No26c2,279$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.4949449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes51c1,451$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.585850%29 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No42c1,195$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.092,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes48c1,182$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.3612541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No9c1,169$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7921132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed No35c1,136$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.289727.8%27 W · 70 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes51c862$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.8227133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x631c…7bfebacked No1c847.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.664418.2%8 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No50c820$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41016647%78 W · 88 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Yes72c802.15$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.55322.6%12 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-33.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No50c800$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.469651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No49c665.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.621,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No51c639.78$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.9237851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Yes50c527.4$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.77143.7%31 W · 40 L-7.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No27c525$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.228231.6%89 W · 193 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed Yes48c487.15$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.325819%11 W · 47 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-51.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No38c419.92$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.741,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes49c412$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.217143.9%75 W · 96 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes48c397.96$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.9445253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1611262.5%70 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa52e…453fbacked No53c357.88$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.681154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Yes71c350$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.451553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No50c348.58$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.7312741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes72c337.23$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.461346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29f0…cdedbacked Yes76c316.74$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa580…a6febacked Yes70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.711560%9 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+44.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Yes50c281.12$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.564854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3b9c…7221backed Yes52c280$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No24c258$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4223254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc73b…c3e9backed No10c239.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.833250%16 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-18.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3001…4ac2backed Yes51c229.41$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.412339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1008149.4%40 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Yes74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4210667.9%72 W · 34 L+15.7wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+42.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2701…3235backed No50c188$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5905…0720backed No50c183.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Yes49c183.67$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.674261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c84…e193backed Yes76c182.99$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No33c181.88$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.349535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x934c…d02bbacked No55c181.26$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.83933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-42.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes50c178$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1090…b7a2backed No50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No50c159.12$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.881,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes74c158.99$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3425625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12e1…5919backed No50c152$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes73c148.81$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1821251.9%110 W · 102 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No51c144$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4423542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x434d…fba4backed No49c143.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d73…c96cbacked Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed No36c142.02$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.735754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked No54c135.78$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3219144.5%85 W · 106 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes75c120.15$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.291,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1acc…8fe0backed No53c119.08$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.112646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes50c110.93$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.471,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Yes47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.384055%22 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508056.3%45 W · 35 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Yes51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494327.9%12 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Yes48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+60.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x610d…e761backed Yes51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed Yes79c91$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.214676.1%35 W · 11 L+7.2wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+25.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3267548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd67…e9f4backed Yes50c89$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90a5…7759backed Yes75c80.07$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.02666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0461…3d55backed Yes51c76$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed No49c74.95$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.854656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fd5…e8cebacked Yes51c74.65$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.58955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7753…cf56backed No28c73.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.612528%7 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No38c72.56$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.263,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes74c72.32$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.83256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc311…c154backed Yes73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.498267.1%55 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4945746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1c5…681ebacked Yes50c68$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbc…036ebacked Yes51c68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cdc…a9afbacked Yes47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.83425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2062…6be2backed Yes47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.834344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac6c…d0d4backed Yes75c62.67$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.671471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed No38c61.2$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.042133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x798e…4df3backed No45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.952445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes49c59.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.541376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+78.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No48c59.49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5611448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa2…8cebbacked Yes51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.82333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes49c55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.32,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb1…62debacked Yes51c53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…08bbbacked Yes54c50.76$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.552737%10 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6170…1946backed Yes50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.517950.8%91 W · 88 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.