South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Clube do Remo vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b96db63ef084f91e7a2657ec57187190a8e661f258d9c7cfeceaa13a6f0b38d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,074 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 5,522$4,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.63 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 4,842$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.99 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 2,984$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.78 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…c02bbacked Yes | 27c | 2,226$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Yes | 4c | 1,493$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.36 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,230$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.35 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 21c | 925.32$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.9 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…fa6bbacked No | 74c | 918.46$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 75cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 427.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.48 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 18c | 367.21$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 17c | 350$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 27c | 349$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.23 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 18c | 310.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 17c | 276.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 24c | 238.36$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 74c | 234$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.7 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe43…8f09backed No | 74c | 229.44$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 76c | 188.56$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Yes | 27c | 188.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 74c | 180$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 10c | 112.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 27c | 112.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5e…54a1backed Yes | 27c | 110.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 26c | 103.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked No | 73c | 75.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 26c | 69.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Yes | 25c | 56.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 26c | 48.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Yes | 29c | 45.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 64c | 34.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 32.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 74c | 32.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…5c43backed No | 72c | 30.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…8b21backed Yes | 36c | 28.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…5712backed No | 72c | 18.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Clube do Remo vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-03-12?No won
- Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-03-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.