South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0012e3d187c9d31dc0e804cbb4877c01c1a3059357c5ab7fe8cea6a6d9bcf75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,933 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 78c | 5,654$4,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.63 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 3,760$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.69 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 28c | 3,424$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.96 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 1,988$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.34 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…d650backed Yes | 44c | 1,815$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.41 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 21c | 1,040$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.65 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 23c | 1,011$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.19 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 54c | 862.52$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.31 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 4c | 728.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +11.9wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 38c | 609.96$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.05 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 67c | 502.36$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.94 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Yes | 14c | 486.52$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 368.3$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 29c | 345.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.24 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 68c | 302.17$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.95 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 28c | 267.86$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.86 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 18c | 266.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 47c | 249.98$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.49 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 47c | 249.54$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 47c | 249.31$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.47 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 12c | 208.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 41c | 207.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a4…9bbebacked Yes | 20c | 197.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…8529backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Yes | 53c | 169.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 45c | 157.77$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 55c | 157.53$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.89 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 53c | 156$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.32 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 73c | 150.34$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 48c | 149.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked Yes | 78c | 140.9$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +10.2wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…3823backed Yes | 53c | 112.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x696c…dbe6backed Yes | 53c | 107.79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 17c | 103.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.73 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 22c | 103.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 49c | 102.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 22c | 92.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c22…f032backed Yes | 33c | 82.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed Yes | 79c | 77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 43c | 68.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…f05dbacked Yes | 55c | 65.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 52c | 60.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 54c | 50.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 24c | 47.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 47c | 38.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…6c97backed Yes | 53c | 38.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 39c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 51c | 32.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 30.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…935bbacked Yes | 58c | 25.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 72c | 25.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 40c | 25.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c4…eb56backed Yes | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 50c | 23.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked No | 55c | 21.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 50c | 20.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Puebla win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.