South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Puebla win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb6297fc512bde5aedd87af7223bdbe4f903d160f2559502d9253083bae37a22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,989 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 26c | 2,950$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.84 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 2,346$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.69 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 2,000$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.69 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 21c | 584$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.33 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 31c | 556.52$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.52 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked No | 71c | 413$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.77 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…e2cdbacked Yes | 20c | 381$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed No | 80c | 370$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Yes | 19c | 309.74$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 79c | 200.76$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 184.51$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 79c | 178$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 36c | 151.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Yes | 40c | 149.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 22c | 117.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…5ba6backed Yes | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a4…9bbebacked Yes | 34c | 56.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919f…bfbebacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 46.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 79c | 27.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 74c | 18.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Puebla win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla end in a draw?No won
- Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.