South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba2675ce9354717bbbaad6e0a73623a1b2968efc14ffbc879283ba2414be7c3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Club Santos Lagunaof CF Cruz Azul, Club Santos Laguna
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Club Santos Laguna | 63c | 2,575$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.07 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed CF Cruz Azul | 31c | 1,250$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.36 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed CF Cruz Azul | 41c | 999.97$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.99 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Club Santos Laguna | 59c | 695.5$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.61 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked CF Cruz Azul | 49c | 308.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed CF Cruz Azul | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed CF Cruz Azul | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 318 | 27%86 W · 232 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Club Santos Laguna | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…217ebacked CF Cruz Azul | 47c | 189.36$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed CF Cruz Azul | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked CF Cruz Azul | 42c | 98.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Club Santos Laguna | 58c | 87.84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Club Santos Laguna | 55c | 85.37$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed CF Cruz Azul | 17c | 68.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked CF Cruz Azul | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked CF Cruz Azul | 43c | 46.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.39per pick | 54cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed CF Cruz Azul | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked CF Cruz Azul | 46c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed CF Cruz Azul | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Club Santos Laguna | 57c | 39.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Club Santos Laguna | 48c | 34.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked CF Cruz Azul | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…f05dbacked CF Cruz Azul | 62c | 31.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Club Santos Laguna | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked CF Cruz Azul | 46c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Club Santos Laguna | 58c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed CF Cruz Azul | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Club Santos Laguna | 72c | 17.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)this page
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Cruz Azul: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-2.5)Club Santos Laguna won
- Spread: Club Santos Laguna (-1.5)CF Cruz Azul won
- Spread: Club Santos Laguna (-2.5)CF Cruz Azul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.