South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x978a137a809ca6bee10afe24b8c8d3f09f5fc3b0cdaa4cb7b2cafc0bbff5945f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 28c | 575$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Under | 39c | 519.79$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.18 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 72c | 402.78$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.78 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 398.45$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.14 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 53c | 264.47$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.17 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 61c | 224.49$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.55 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 62c | 222.77$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.65 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 36c | 200.47$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 54c | 158.23$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.63 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 63c | 154$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 147.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x696c…dbe6backed Over | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 38c | 111$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 63c | 95.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 54c | 65.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 63c | 50.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Under | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1bfdbacked Over | 63c | 45.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 33c | 43.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed Under | 35c | 43.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf78…c4cabacked Under | 44c | 34.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 49c | 21.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5this page
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Cruz Azul: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)Club Santos Laguna won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-2.5)Club Santos Laguna won
- Spread: Club Santos Laguna (-1.5)CF Cruz Azul won
- Spread: Club Santos Laguna (-2.5)CF Cruz Azul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.