TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-03-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$223,083

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,083 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes41c72,756$29,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,828.4929446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c38,149$22,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,472.318,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes42c30,174$12,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,548.4812736.2%46 W · 81 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes43c17,850$7,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,218.058321.7%18 W · 65 L-12.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-46.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No58c16,089$9,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,361.153,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed No59c14,278$8,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,424.211250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes42c10,934$4,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,315.171,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No60c10,292$6,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,174.923333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes40c10,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,999.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+91.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed No59c8,758$5,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1671163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No57c8,118$4,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,602.6829747.1%140 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No58c6,923$4,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,049.3623354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed No57c6,040$3,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,442.791553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No59c5,892$3,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,476.28862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked No59c4,846$2,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,858.964845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No57c4,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2803360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No54c3,312$1,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.52,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No59c2,753$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.091,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No59c2,500$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.517055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No59c2,495$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.391,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No57c2,400$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,37712741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes41c2,370$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.096543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes41c2,193$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.6830841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No58c2,001$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.5816543.6%72 W · 93 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No47c1,943$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.973,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No59c1,700$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00939853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Yes32c1,419$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.141030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes40c1,136$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.565728.1%16 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No58c1,134$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.391,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No58c1,119$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.141,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No58c1,054$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.5321849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No66c1,014$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.921,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No63c1,010$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.3130754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No58c999.99$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58012750.4%64 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No58c965.54$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.019649%47 W · 49 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No60c961.18$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.9737851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Yes30c944.99$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.474845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes34c903.16$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.8518160.2%109 W · 72 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes43c751.99$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.6916740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes41c734.7$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.6184943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No31c690.4$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.128443%122 W · 162 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3364953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb495…7c65backed Yes51c581.35$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.773250%16 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes44c515.91$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.9146530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes39c512.79$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.810242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Yes30c503.55$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.5511618.1%21 W · 95 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcff9…795abacked No58c480.82$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1222049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes42c428.57$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.5725625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No53c375.97$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.0349535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes37c367.24$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.444332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes41c341.41$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.961,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Yes42c294.84$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.234231%13 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba2b…0c59backed No59c286.38$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.031040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No59c282$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7921359.6%127 W · 86 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf61f…c8b2backed Yes43c269.43$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1509428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes42c250$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14512443.5%54 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No62c249.86$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.911,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed No64c232.76$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes44c227.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.837332.9%24 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2713833.3%46 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes42c220$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12813041.5%54 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes54c219.04$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.131,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No58c198.54$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.3135758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Yes77c197.39$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1313548.9%66 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No57c194.63$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.41,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes38c183.87$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11419144.5%85 W · 106 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes37c182.2$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.239127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No65c179.94$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1755155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes77c179.46$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2812065%78 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No62c175.77$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8227053%143 W · 127 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No39c163.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7532936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No58c153.65$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.124369.8%30 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes33c153.31$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7912331.7%39 W · 84 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes42c141.28$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7711155%61 W · 50 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No59c137$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.652,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed No59c134.35$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.86061.7%37 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ca…54f0backed No59c132$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.484261.9%26 W · 16 L+7.0wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+35.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No58c129.35$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.231,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0941…1d22backed Yes61c128.56$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.56540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No62c127.77$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.225168.6%35 W · 16 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+36.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.954856.3%27 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+30.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked No57c121$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.974346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No63c120$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7517066.5%113 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No58c119.94$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6920953.1%111 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e4a…5ba6backed Yes41c119$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.711030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No62c115$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.252,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No57c114$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9817946.9%84 W · 95 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No61c113.96$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.011,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed No58c113.53$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.513450%17 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f49…b482backed Yes40c105.8$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+60.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No19c103.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4227442%115 W · 159 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Yes43c100.04$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.043650%18 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+36.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed No57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5710331.1%32 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5717950.8%91 W · 88 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked No66c93.94$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66a3…48febacked No61c91.41$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.76366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed No57c90.48$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9711262.5%70 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.