South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-03-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50c774af812a614fe1f3269e4e9e1d52a31a453dfffc5ca259cf1d8511ee5fa0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,640 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed No | 67c | 73,734$49,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,094.72 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 33c | 25,490$8,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,303.62 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…e461backed Yes | 33c | 24,249$8,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,002.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 33c | 11,300$3,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,691.88 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 67c | 8,420$5,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,774.89 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 6,271$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.74 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…2cdfbacked Yes | 32c | 4,666$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Yes | 33c | 4,127$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 3,057$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.23 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 32c | 2,042$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.31 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 37c | 1,282$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.8 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 1,133$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.1 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 76c | 739.67$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.68 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 62c | 720$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.6 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcff9…795abacked Yes | 32c | 584.5$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 552.54$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.28 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 34c | 535$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.09 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 68c | 422.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.36 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 33c | 386.62$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.78 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 385.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 26c | 368.72$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…c8b2backed Yes | 34c | 350.21$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 79c | 311.57$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.22 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 66c | 300.21$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.07 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 24c | 289.06$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.38 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 24c | 260.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.52 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 31c | 249.93$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.48 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 31c | 249.82$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Yes | 32c | 237.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed No | 73c | 235.5$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.42 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 33c | 229$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.45 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 28c | 219.83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 75c | 204$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed No | 69c | 199.35$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.91 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 21c | 188.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 30c | 182.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…0c59backed Yes | 32c | 171.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2135…9e8fbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…19acbacked No | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 22c | 146.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 33c | 130.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 68c | 126.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 27c | 126$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Yes | 28c | 104$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 69c | 97.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 31c | 97.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes | 31c | 95.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 21c | 95.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Yes | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked No | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 32c | 84.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 63.85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Yes | 32c | 57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 80c | 54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 28c | 47.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 32c | 46.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 29c | 43.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 33c | 42.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…bdc2backed Yes | 32c | 40.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 32c | 35.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f8…5ce0backed No | 69c | 33.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7e…5705backed Yes | 32c | 32.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…2d3cbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 75c | 29.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3ec7backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…bd7fbacked No | 70c | 27.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 64c | 26.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-03-06?this page
- Will Club Necaxa vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?No won
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-03-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.