Middle East · resolved market
Israel military action against Iraq by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf71bb3e1cb3e4f30adea1dcfb4add75eebd7efbf415e1bf467cb21f06abd40bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed Yes | 36c | 31,813$11,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,464.61 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed No | 71c | 9,951$7,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,905.27 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fe…6fc7backed No | 57c | 7,476$4,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,210.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f2…0c24backed Yes | 21c | 6,678$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.04 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 9c | 6,500$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked Yes | 13c | 5,073$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.28 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 53c | 4,001$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.28 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e02…b56dbacked Yes | 6c | 3,990$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.9 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 17c | 3,934$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.25 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x372a…7201backed Yes | 8c | 3,880$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 13c | 3,736$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.13 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7e…c200backed No | 52c | 3,092$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.19 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 7c | 3,008$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.67 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…f2cbbacked Yes | 8c | 2,969$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.64 | 76 | 10.5%8 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed Yes | 35c | 2,940$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.63 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc160…ce0abacked Yes | 59c | 2,549$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.84 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 32c | 2,210$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.02 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 46c | 2,119$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.7 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 16c | 2,030$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.6 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed No | 10c | 1,928$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.32 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 7cpaid | +413.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe16b…d883backed No | 75c | 1,779$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.97 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 11c | 1,705$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.91 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,583$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.57 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…3a2dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,467$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.55 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 66c | 1,429$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.86 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8be2…8b8abacked Yes | 12c | 1,213$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.57 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed Yes | 7c | 1,200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.53 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 28c | 1,167$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.88 | 242 | 34.3%83 W · 159 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…a71dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,128$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e38…1b55backed Yes | 67c | 1,098$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.79 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf414…67fbbacked Yes | 25c | 1,043$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 31c | 965.15$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.38 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 8c | 960.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked No | 38c | 802.55$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.98 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 27c | 725.48$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.89 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 721$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.04 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fb…c306backed Yes | 12c | 720$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 4c | 696.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 123 | 5.7%7 W · 116 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd87c…8c12backed No | 69c | 694.82$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.11 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53cf…7d67backed No | 62c | 694.11$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c53…44f2backed Yes | 50c | 673.66$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.74 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 37c | 578.54$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.55 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…8a7cbacked Yes | 26c | 569$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.65 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 10c | 536.26$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…29ccbacked Yes | 31c | 523.64$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.76 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c39…aaabbacked Yes | 21c | 487.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 14.3%10 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 8c | 465.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4895…0a83backed Yes | 30c | 463.74$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.97 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed Yes | 26c | 460.69$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…5ff2backed Yes | 6c | 440$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d09…dd55backed No | 65c | 400$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4baf…5fdfbacked No | 43c | 400$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.81 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ac…5792backed No | 76c | 394.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4760…0a49backed No | 21c | 368.91$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.62 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +6.1wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd118…a96dbacked Yes | 50c | 368.41$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3e…03c7backed Yes | 33c | 329.56$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.53 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 45c | 327.42$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.89 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe277…8e46backed Yes | 8c | 308$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…c91ebacked No | 73c | 307.48$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.01 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Yes | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 74c | 300$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…8d85backed Yes | 68c | 300$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.58 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0308…182cbacked Yes | 23c | 293.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.53 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked No | 65c | 265.57$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.16 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…b797backed No | 77c | 258.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…3d9cbacked Yes | 22c | 243.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 9c | 243$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ca…2817backed No | 71c | 235.58$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…605abacked Yes | 22c | 233.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed Yes | 36c | 230$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.95 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…a43dbacked Yes | 13c | 224$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc3…648ebacked Yes | 13c | 216.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3977…e660backed No | 61c | 211.67$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.17 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.56 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd7…96d3backed No | 68c | 199.39$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.38 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36bb…e437backed No | 68c | 191.64$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.47 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…1f38backed No | 55c | 181.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…40d3backed Yes | 23c | 180$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 8c | 179.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…f05dbacked Yes | 7c | 177.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7588…9e7ebacked Yes | 29c | 176.51$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc085…82fabacked Yes | 12c | 166.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Yes | 42c | 155.4$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…26b1backed No | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed No | 38c | 145.86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.66 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01f…5240backed No | 78c | 139.35$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeba9…1eaebacked No | 64c | 132.02$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 26c | 130$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06bd…a6d2backed No | 76c | 111.27$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…84f3backed Yes | 37c | 107.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…a363backed Yes | 19c | 106.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked Yes | 14c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc445…d6aebacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c89…9d7fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 20c | 99.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 202 | 47%95 W · 107 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…f59cbacked Yes | 27c | 99.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…f622backed Yes | 30c | 82.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked Yes | 36c | 72.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.