Fifa International · resolved market
Germany leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb14c2c2d2dfb7b6becf1e627219660e63ecf83fd9877f0f891b7c4d5073bfc31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $413,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $402,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $413,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 354 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 64,334$32,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,023.7 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 48c | 50,000$23,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,878.47 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 47c | 49,784$23,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,534.99 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 51c | 35,752$18,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,336.46 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 54c | 22,548$12,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,444.81 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 42c | 15,584$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 47c | 15,000$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,100 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked No | 51c | 10,934$5,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,357.53 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54d2…de22backed No | 54c | 10,688$5,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,916.48 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969a…59ddbacked No | 53c | 10,448$5,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,910.79 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…a96fbacked No | 53c | 10,042$5,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,720.34 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 47c | 8,670$4,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,073.2 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 52c | 8,536$4,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,057.26 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 53c | 8,001$4,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,774.84 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 56c | 7,650$4,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,362.66 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 62c | 7,616$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,749.74 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes | 1c | 7,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 46c | 7,022$3,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,238.26 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…1bedbacked No | 51c | 6,930$3,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,395.5 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 40c | 6,317$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.58 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Yes | 50c | 6,029$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…6930backed No | 52c | 5,198$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,495.14 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 51c | 4,543$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.03 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 65c | 4,340$2,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.59 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 59c | 4,276$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.2 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 2c | 4,167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed No | 52c | 3,507$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.36 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes | 30c | 3,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 40c | 3,110$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.14 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…5fa9backed Yes | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…88dfbacked Yes | 79c | 2,869$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.31 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed06…72e7backed No | 51c | 2,847$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.02 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 55c | 2,799$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.34 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 57c | 2,614$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.56 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed No | 57c | 2,585$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 54c | 2,550$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.69 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked No | 53c | 2,491$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.57 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ac…f764backed Yes | 45c | 2,428$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.59 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed No | 53c | 2,328$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.16 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 44c | 2,306$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.09 | 251 | 24.7%62 W · 189 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…c7c0backed Yes | 3c | 2,104$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c0…fe99backed Yes | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…267dbacked Yes | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 278 | 45.7%127 W · 151 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed No | 60c | 1,999$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.44 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 53c | 1,900$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.07 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 52c | 1,827$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.49 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484a…316abacked Yes | 49c | 1,801$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.92 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked No | 54c | 1,784$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.71 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…352fbacked Yes | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 164 | 41.5%68 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 51c | 1,606$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.78 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed No | 53c | 1,586$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.38 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…fc37backed No | 53c | 1,581$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.07 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,578$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.59 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 51c | 1,556$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.58 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked No | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed No | 31c | 1,496$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.17 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 51c | 1,472$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.28 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8783…db0cbacked Yes | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 77c | 1,296$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 51c | 1,296$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.04 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc522…7f28backed No | 55c | 1,296$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.12 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 31c | 1,237$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.24 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…1579backed Yes | 49c | 1,222$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 51c | 1,212$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.99 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,153$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 362 | 34%123 W · 239 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…231dbacked No | 52c | 1,141$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.57 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…98eebacked No | 31c | 1,121$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.06 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Yes | 40c | 1,059$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.6 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 47c | 1,036$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.09 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…c910backed Yes | 13c | 1,019$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.07 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b8…e82abacked No | 50c | 999.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1704…b0e1backed Yes | 48c | 981.04$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Yes | 47c | 977.6$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.21 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed No | 52c | 961$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.28 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x686f…87d5backed Yes | 32c | 945.82$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ca…7229backed Yes | 46c | 900$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…424ebacked Yes | 35c | 869.41$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.6 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…0b7dbacked Yes | 49c | 836.73$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -13.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a5…6f1fbacked Yes | 48c | 815$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…de95backed Yes | 49c | 757.96$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…4582backed Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 163 | 19.6%32 W · 131 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 33c | 735.32$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.57 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes | 48c | 729.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.39 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…bf38backed Yes | 19c | 700$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 42c | 690.38$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.96 | 465 | 62.2%289 W · 176 L | +42.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabff…9e8fbacked Yes | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 43c | 663.52$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.67 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 52c | 657.23$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.48 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 632$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.13 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a4…6ed6backed Yes | 41c | 612.13$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed No | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 34c | 561$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.74 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 53c | 534.01$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.8 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc41…6b74backed Yes | 31c | 532.26$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked No | 53c | 530$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.1 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…5076backed Yes | 47c | 511$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.17 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany leading at halftime?this page
- Ecuador leading at halftime?No won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.