TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-03-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,984

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,984 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed No31c9,572$2,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,945.941,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No40c8,097$3,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,257.773,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No45c5,723$2,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,572.877751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes69c4,617$3,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,422.9747748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x055d…1ef0backed Yes69c4,400$3,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed No30c2,909$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d31…0286backed Yes50c2,599$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Yes55c2,366$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.393333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Yes71c2,113$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.681172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+40.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No44c1,997$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.2721545.1%97 W · 118 L-20.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Yes56c1,936$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.792850%14 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Yes56c1,858$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.914438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No32c1,708$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.0425149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Yes55c1,219$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.555100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No32c1,100$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35515341.2%63 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No37c990.91$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.2529370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed Yes65c967.86$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.5650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes68c897.31$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.142740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No29c895$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.4112451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No38c888.81$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.9313950.4%70 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked No30c833.33$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee02…8132backed No3c800$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No31c787.48$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.9580358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No29c784.97$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.862544%11 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Yes57c744.38$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.021850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No40c546.21$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.061,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes63c534.47$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.411,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes72c499.97$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.4955750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No34c455.51$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.8787154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes55c451$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.8931834.9%111 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No33c372$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.323643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No36c350.37$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6337138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5e…e87cbacked Yes55c350$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes55c341.56$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.73452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No33c341.01$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.27044.3%31 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d3…8a20backed Yes53c334.09$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.442161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa35…0624backed No30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes71c330.99$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes55c319.44$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.75850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Yes56c315.64$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.38862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x530f…424ebacked Yes74c310$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf27…67ebbacked Yes71c294.74$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No35c274.75$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.228251.2%42 W · 40 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+41.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xef2c…227dbacked Yes51c265.14$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+32.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes72c228.46$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4568550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No29c227.31$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7397146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes62c225.72$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6148344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Yes48c218.75$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.751241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes76c215.32$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.478560%51 W · 34 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-70.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No31c203$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8937649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No46c188.13$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6926346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed Yes42c188.05$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.742676.9%20 W · 6 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+32.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Yes57c176.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.63955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick70cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Yes47c170.21$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.212240.9%9 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed No30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502055%11 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68c0…7e68backed Yes68c163.31$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7118…a2a5backed Yes47c152.68$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.92862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Yes47c151.78$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8158…4df5backed No33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No28c150$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428919.1%17 W · 72 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Yes72c150$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424967.3%33 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda93…ac10backed Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Yes71c146.24$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.412842.9%12 W · 16 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-31.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked No30c142.48$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.85977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+59.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b76…4f2dbacked Yes42c140.79$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.79825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No26c122.45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8413942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed No35c114.58$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.291250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Yes52c113.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.721947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b8…181ebacked Yes47c107.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No31c100.01$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6772850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.570249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Yes71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Yes35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+57.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310757%61 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2726050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes68c97.65$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.237249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe68d…a292backed Yes68c96.38$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.841947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes70c94$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.22236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes60c93$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.54683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+59.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes66c91.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5254949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No24c88.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.628721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2268…05bdbacked Yes48c82.76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.76633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89d8…332bbacked Yes71c81.69$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.691464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No32c80$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3330735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8353…01a8backed No33c75.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2605…2b17backed Yes66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.76475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes77c75.35$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.155549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x680d…98b8backed Yes54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.07683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+37.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8da…a6e6backed Yes66c73.87$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes51c72.98$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6596756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked No35c70.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.791533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad8b…aa8dbacked Yes68c69.79$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.33580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+36.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x798e…4df3backed No33c65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.671662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1ec…1363backed Yes50c62.72$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+147.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No39c61.87$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2445140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed No33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019645.9%90 W · 106 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed No33c54.36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.771735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes72c54$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.941339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.