Mls · resolved market
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe448da35aa9244bfb3452b8a97cc6f7eaae863d5bc0ee78f29de6b715446e668
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 13c | 6,265$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.79 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 17c | 1,800$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.14 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 17c | 1,796$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.21 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 12c | 1,401$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.41 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 1,241$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.06 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 12c | 800.66$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.31 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 11c | 740.06$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 12c | 546.79$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 12c | 367.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 17c | 270.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 15c | 201.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 13c | 179.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 12c | 171.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 12c | 149.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…8644backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 14c | 109.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 17c | 104$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 20c | 101$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ef…9e55backed Yes | 18c | 100.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…0f05backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 13c | 83.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 14c | 75.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 17c | 73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Los Angeles FC vs. St. Louis City SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-03-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.