Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a32785c8afad33ef7457b3ef70ace4d6ec2d0fd50ad55903680736e4facc817
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 4,154$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.33 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 38c | 2,849$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.91 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…6dd0backed Yes | 64c | 2,338$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…ae85backed Yes | 53c | 1,885$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed No | 39c | 1,773$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30e9…390ebacked Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…664abacked Yes | 63c | 790.95$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa195…8c92backed Yes | 64c | 724$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 76c | 638$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.84 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 28c | 532.44$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.72 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 12c | 500$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 20c | 495.12$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 71c | 358.99$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.68 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 35c | 356.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.67 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…cabdbacked Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 66c | 292.42$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 37c | 266.41$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.84 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 60c | 248.56$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.56 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed No | 37c | 224.09$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb397…7c2ebacked Yes | 60c | 208.56$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 61c | 207.21$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 38c | 180$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbb…92efbacked No | 41c | 175.47$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8750…0841backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ef10backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…cf96backed No | 40c | 152.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 35c | 148$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 36c | 144$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x275a…4d33backed No | 40c | 129.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…b34bbacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67fc…722bbacked No | 40c | 94.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ec…f6e4backed No | 15c | 92.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed No | 51c | 92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 37c | 91.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb9…fd83backed Yes | 65c | 90.77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 36c | 90.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…30e8backed Yes | 58c | 86.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 60c | 82.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 38c | 76.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 75.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 37c | 73.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 62c | 70.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 66c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 63c | 59.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b0…4871backed Yes | 61c | 58.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b0…3b4ebacked Yes | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af4…043abacked Yes | 64c | 56.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 70c | 53.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 47c | 50.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Yes | 62c | 48.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +6.1wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…509cbacked No | 45c | 44.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 60c | 43.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed Yes | 60c | 43.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 58c | 42.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…f05dbacked Yes | 41c | 41.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +152.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 71c | 39.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed No | 63c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…fb99backed Yes | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d8…fac4backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3ec7backed Yes | 61c | 36.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3f…a5b2backed Yes | 61c | 35.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…c94cbacked Yes | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ea…3b34backed Yes | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…4bf8backed Yes | 52c | 32.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 41c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1732…2830backed Yes | 60c | 25.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 59c | 21.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 65c | 20.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b1…d9b2backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 79c | 16.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc596…4368backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will Vejle BK vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?No won
- Will Vejle BK win on 2026-03-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.