TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

USC Trojans vs. Washington Huskies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Washington Huskiesof USC Trojans, Washington Huskies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$210,784

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,784 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa38a…821dbacked USC Trojans35c37,002$12,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,893.2849345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Washington Huskies53c21,512$11,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,199.955,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…da92backed Washington Huskies52c11,839$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,739.755056%28 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked USC Trojans39c10,830$4,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,272.5931837.7%120 W · 198 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed USC Trojans5c7,371$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.2417742.9%76 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Washington Huskies46c6,828$3,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,695.746056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed USC Trojans44c6,772$2,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,979.972,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed USC Trojans51c5,831$2,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,958.0931646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Washington Huskies57c5,715$3,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,445.574,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed USC Trojans6c4,614$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.592,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed USC Trojans5c4,100$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.7181528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed USC Trojans41c4,096$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,669.183,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked USC Trojans2c4,011$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5124121.2%51 W · 190 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+299%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Washington Huskies56c3,942$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.991,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed USC Trojans13c3,832$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.1655840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Washington Huskies80c2,491$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.6610736.4%39 W · 68 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed USC Trojans45c2,333$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.519448.9%46 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Washington Huskies68c2,034$1,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.531,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked USC Trojans32c1,893$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.912,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed USC Trojans55c1,812$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.172,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9175…d70fbacked USC Trojans50c1,697$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.51560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Washington Huskies59c1,347$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.154551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed USC Trojans53c1,300$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6868356.6%47 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Washington Huskies69c1,286$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3951,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed USC Trojans40c1,251$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.545,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Washington Huskies50c1,249$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.495650%28 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked USC Trojans39c1,100$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.7287047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Washington Huskies70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30021549.3%106 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Washington Huskies80c991.72$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.2327450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Washington Huskies63c971.66$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.33,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bea…c4b2backed USC Trojans33c924.27$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.594344.2%19 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed USC Trojans56c810.18$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.0715243.4%66 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff73…35ccbacked USC Trojans6c793.85$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.15650%28 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Washington Huskies52c775.99$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.4212045.8%55 W · 65 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Washington Huskies54c713.74$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.0916054.4%87 W · 73 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Washington Huskies54c624.16$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.117646.1%35 W · 41 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Washington Huskies49c525.61$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0193447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dcf…6cc3backed Washington Huskies78c506.09$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.29785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked USC Trojans30c492.94$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7155532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Washington Huskies75c473.9$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.0817062.9%107 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed USC Trojans43c466.29$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.39711.3%11 W · 86 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed USC Trojans30c439.75$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.925837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x954b…eb22backed USC Trojans53c369.23$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.636235.5%22 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed USC Trojans42c362.86$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15414027.1%38 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Washington Huskies66c360.55$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.4712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Washington Huskies69c357.48$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.961,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x985f…7a5bbacked Washington Huskies48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1569051.1%46 W · 44 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa330…9d33backed USC Trojans5c282.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.971338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x060c…7d36backed Washington Huskies64c280.53$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.997100%7 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+67.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked USC Trojans36c275.89$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.192722.2%6 W · 21 L-6.0wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-45.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked USC Trojans47c272$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6884854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed USC Trojans51c268.61$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.791637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Washington Huskies45c235.94$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4327055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked USC Trojans27c231.87$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.691,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked USC Trojans37c229.16$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.311,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked USC Trojans53c226.03$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2370349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Washington Huskies44c213.24$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4124951.8%129 W · 120 L+19.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Washington Huskies50c200.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.781,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked USC Trojans29c199.38$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.821,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed USC Trojans32c198.48$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5124737.7%93 W · 154 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked USC Trojans33c198.46$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.062,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked USC Trojans50c198.24$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked USC Trojans16c188.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2614049.3%69 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaad5…ac2ebacked USC Trojans34c175.88$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.539745.4%44 W · 53 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf520…f05dbacked USC Trojans17c165.24$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb15c…c161backed USC Trojans58c144.86$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.022729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Washington Huskies71c138.43$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1540755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Washington Huskies64c132.5$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.726254.2%142 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Washington Huskies41c132.29$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0513141.2%54 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fbe…993abacked USC Trojans12c124$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.626154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe81b…ae69backed USC Trojans43c115.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.574843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed USC Trojans31c114.82$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5957448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Washington Huskies65c110.96$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0574649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed USC Trojans40c109.34$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5222050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff75…b615backed USC Trojans48c103.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.563542.9%15 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Washington Huskies51c103.01$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4812153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ea…c56dbacked USC Trojans28c101.15$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Washington Huskies71c100.62$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6849157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed USC Trojans30c100.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7823331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed USC Trojans18c99.48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.91757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+80%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Washington Huskies50c99.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.568757.5%50 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc269…ffb8backed USC Trojans33c99.09$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.751250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9643…2dc9backed USC Trojans51c96.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.561241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15b4…5fc5backed Washington Huskies49c92.45$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x035b…3ca0backed Washington Huskies78c92.3$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.73050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked USC Trojans50c89.21$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6122640.7%92 W · 134 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed USC Trojans33c89.12$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.419352.7%49 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b15…f827backed USC Trojans56c88.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.574845.8%22 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Washington Huskies63c87.41$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.261,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2f6…cbf3backed USC Trojans17c83.62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.921233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c87…6d0ebacked USC Trojans18c81.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Washington Huskies59c80.53$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.171,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22be…e36ebacked USC Trojans34c80$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.16036.7%22 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x193d…9741backed Washington Huskies50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Washington Huskies63c78.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.165438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed USC Trojans25c76.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2219522.1%43 W · 152 L-36.3wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-53.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Washington Huskies72c74.73$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9224340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed USC Trojans33c74.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8113450%67 W · 67 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed USC Trojans29c73.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.172,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71b3…a5d6backed USC Trojans30c69.49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.851442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.