Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Washington Huskies (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x668c0ec785632403b5c7bbcc1422166987e5e108dc7c3ac4a1717097925073a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Huskiesof Washington Huskies, USC Trojans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,179 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked USC Trojans | 53c | 1,154$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.56 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Washington Huskies | 47c | 630$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.9 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Washington Huskies | 46c | 531.34$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.92 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed USC Trojans | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Washington Huskies | 48c | 413.03$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.77 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Washington Huskies | 48c | 330.42$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.82 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked USC Trojans | 52c | 296.27$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.06 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Washington Huskies | 47c | 229.82$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.9 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed USC Trojans | 54c | 150.18$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.9 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Washington Huskies | 46c | 103.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.94 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed USC Trojans | 54c | 91.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked USC Trojans | 55c | 66.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked Washington Huskies | 45c | 66.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Washington Huskies | 36c | 59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…7cfabacked Washington Huskies | 48c | 42.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed USC Trojans | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked USC Trojans | 53c | 29.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked USC Trojans | 57c | 27.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed USC Trojans | 71c | 21.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington Huskies (-6.5)this page
- Spread: Washington Huskies (-5.5)Washington Huskies won
- USC Trojans vs. Washington HuskiesWashington Huskies won
- USC Trojans vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 150.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.