TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd2f6…cbf3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: WNBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$20.74
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$18.23
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.28
Bulls vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$22.47
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.56
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$12.31
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$17.44
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.54
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.85
Suns vs. Kingsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+25%+$23.79
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.29
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.72
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.88
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.78
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.56
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.24
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Jackson State Tigersbacked Jackson State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$33.05
USC Trojans vs. Washington Huskiesbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.92
Utah State Aggies vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebelsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.83
Drexel Dragons vs. Stony Brook Seawolvesbacked Stony Brook Seawolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+185.7%+$185.71
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats vs. Jackson State Tigersbacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-19.5)backed Syracuse Orange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick62cpaid-60.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Fnatic vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.45
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$8.54
Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.18
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$11.15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick71cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Feverbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Stormbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF América win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$38.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+54.5%+$108.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$25.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$72.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.