South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-03-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9a0fec68a2afb9fde1bcc7fda02247353aeeda86905dea64c8ddb8b344b3159
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,301 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 46c | 17,426$7,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,956.35 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12c…f2d4backed Yes | 47c | 15,782$7,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,383.88 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 54c | 9,830$5,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,264.53 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 47c | 5,328$2,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.9 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 4,496$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.9 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 53c | 2,556$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.53 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 1,612$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.99 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 21c | 1,499$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.33 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 47c | 1,481$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.93 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 53c | 1,457$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.21 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 70c | 1,369$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.41 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 53c | 1,300$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 46c | 1,067$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.18 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 50c | 1,016$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.93 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 30c | 899.97$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.88 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 53c | 867.73$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.86 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 80c | 821.45$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.29 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 79c | 775.39$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.7 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 43c | 760.31$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.26 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 3c | 677.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 48c | 626$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 53c | 609.43$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Yes | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 52c | 426.76$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.17 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 20c | 417.15$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.43 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked No | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 53c | 370$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.1 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed No | 6c | 337.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 53c | 238$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.01 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 48c | 224.63$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.14 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 65c | 220.16$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.66 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 49c | 189.68$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.11 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 55c | 153.22$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 55c | 137.91$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 53c | 130.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.93 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d44…2f97backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked No | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 53c | 81.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 70c | 79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 55c | 71.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10cd…2da0backed No | 17c | 68.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 46c | 67.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Yes | 80c | 64.31$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb495…7c65backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked No | 54c | 63.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…f05dbacked Yes | 47c | 61.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Yes | 50c | 60.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…fc7cbacked No | 54c | 55.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 47c | 53.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed No | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c4…eb56backed Yes | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92ae…a7b0backed Yes | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 44c | 35.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 32.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…6c97backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Yes | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e92…7e9fbacked Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2e…5b64backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed No | 56c | 27.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Yes | 45c | 26.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +78%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…e2d0backed No | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…df3cbacked Yes | 47c | 25.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…fe86backed Yes | 80c | 24.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 47c | 24.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 50c | 24.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 48c | 24.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ae…7e7bbacked No | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33ac…a435backed Yes | 78c | 19.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 69c | 19.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 64c | 18.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 70c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed Yes | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlas FC win on 2026-03-04?this page
- Will Atlas FC vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-03-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.