South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-03-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee92406094f702b4b6730a8265a000b198e4b89c89574b5f880496d36dd627e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 24c | 8,011$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.73 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 6,771$5,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.79 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 22c | 1,264$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.82 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 26c | 1,156$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.8 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 550.94$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 546$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.6 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Yes | 5c | 386.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 385.59$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.25 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Yes | 5c | 296.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 74c | 257.24$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 222.19$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 21c | 213.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…f5bfbacked No | 78c | 193.1$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 135.85$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 110.91$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…b61abacked Yes | 27c | 109.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 25c | 106.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 73c | 95.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 75c | 87$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 22c | 81.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed No | 73c | 78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 70.45$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 78c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…a3b2backed Yes | 21c | 62.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 74c | 56.07$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39e5…143abacked No | 74c | 45.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 78c | 40.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 74c | 39.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…05cbbacked No | 76c | 37.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f3…8b96backed No | 74c | 27.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca8…c044backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…88c2backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ed…06d5backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed No | 74c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 75c | 22.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked No | 75c | 22.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf877…77e1backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…7676backed No | 74c | 17.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 74c | 17.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed No | 72c | 14.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-03-04?this page
- Will Atlas FC vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?No won
- Will Atlas FC win on 2026-03-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.