TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$287,195
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$285,289

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,195 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No61c54,512$33,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,138.658,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes60c48,462$29,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,219.7249136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes43c39,883$17,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,121.912,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed No40c16,620$6,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,972450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes53c16,474$8,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,804.5228940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No55c11,004$6,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,925.475,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No40c7,500$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.9931643%136 W · 180 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdc1…bdd8backed No41c7,317$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,317.073644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31a1…1227backed Yes41c7,167$2,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,911.051435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes52c6,352$3,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,330.5923733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes60c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00034747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf49…e7f4backed No39c4,845$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,955.711361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed No48c4,508$2,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,325.487248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes20c4,419$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.831931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+45.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b0f…4633backed Yes57c4,142$2,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,356.831154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba4f…b37bbacked No40c3,880$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,328.16862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+36.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Yes66c3,714$2,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,442.919920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7609…6c4ebacked No40c3,500$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,114.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed No41c3,204$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.5912156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Yes64c3,158$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,019.7111338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No40c3,048$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,837.71,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x895d…f2a3backed No40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.982161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+37.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No40c2,896$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,742.361,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb376…a463backed No40c2,745$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.99785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick54cpaid+72.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes45c2,450$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.087741.6%32 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Yes27c2,323$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.658660.5%52 W · 34 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No63c2,251$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.4695155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes57c2,083$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.5682434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68ad…a26ebacked Yes1c2,014$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.01100%0 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No44c1,985$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.4426835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed No46c1,906$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.936339.7%25 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Yes60c1,833$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1003234.4%11 W · 21 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-47.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes17c1,761$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.575240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No40c1,532$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.263,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No39c1,507$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.2819447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked No29c1,470$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.943842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked No44c1,468$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.216412.5%8 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-70%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No47c1,345$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.8953836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes11c1,293$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.3564633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76af…25c3backed No39c1,292$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.251275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+44.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No41c1,282$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.332,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No40c1,282$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.211,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No40c1,281$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.121,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Yes42c1,225$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.755837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked No73c1,179$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.3711354.9%62 W · 51 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No56c1,136$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.4146449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6dd…5e33backed Yes79c1,010$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked No40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6006243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Yes61c974.42$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59217440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes60c900$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.6wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-46.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Yes56c842.78$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.9813748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes59c810$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.98551.8%44 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Yes11c750$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.515625.6%40 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x584a…8b8abacked Yes64c690.89$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.391643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes63c690.23$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.041,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes18c615.62$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4285220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed No45c581.37$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.1321044.3%93 W · 117 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No40c544.1$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.4631136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes60c542.22$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.420934%71 W · 138 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3735…1525backed Yes41c531$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.844242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe91e…9ea8backed Yes18c486.51$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.71757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1510…fe91backed Yes52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502556%14 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed Yes52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-69.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No65c472.38$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.4963061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No63c472.29$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.881,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No40c450$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.541654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes60c410.94$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.361,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…52adbacked No37c405.4$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+43.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No39c402.03$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.371,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x253e…84e4backed No49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2044100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes52c399.98$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No67c399.82$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.7224665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Yes18c368.89$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed No40c360$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21625345.1%114 W · 139 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed No41c342$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.788743.7%38 W · 49 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+112%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked No53c332.51$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.315552.3%81 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5af8…db25backed Yes61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-42.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed No38c326.74$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.0517051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2fe…a06abacked No39c320$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.21764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8817…cda8backed No66c320$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.24831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-51.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe16f…a33fbacked Yes30c313.15$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.073959%23 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No62c303.3$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.1716641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6528…2dcebacked Yes63c302.76$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.74650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5712338.2%47 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Yes38c289.41$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.946735.8%24 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No40c288.44$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.7178756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1bf…b8e1backed Yes69c287.77$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.565841.4%24 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No40c284$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.562,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe868…7c4fbacked Yes12c283.33$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345944.1%26 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked No31c283.08$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.576251.6%32 W · 30 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes32c281$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9335246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x341b…e5c5backed Yes60c266.07$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66e0…b50ebacked Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No75c262.62$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8712740.9%52 W · 75 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No46c260$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.218446.2%85 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No60c257.63$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0642946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Yes60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c6…615ebacked Yes60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Yes32c249.98$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.226850%34 W · 34 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+25.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.