South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49e7652b53f2d58a8085de70c6c1f3d5160a6de83e1aff8657379a63c1b1f4f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 75c | 33,647$25,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,450.68 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 25,938$7,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,489.1 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 68c | 12,707$8,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,011.24 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 29c | 8,809$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544.37 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 27c | 7,154$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.96 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec9…1e0cbacked No | 67c | 4,375$2,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 26c | 3,230$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.49 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 71c | 2,523$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.59 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 17c | 1,763$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 33c | 1,431$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.55 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 30c | 1,386$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.25 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 26c | 1,283$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.95 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 39c | 1,200$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 29c | 1,171$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.98 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 27c | 1,137$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.18 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 75c | 910$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…a351backed Yes | 21c | 693$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.78 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69d0…6732backed No | 45c | 561.78$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.1 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 56c | 527.39$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.34 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…5e33backed Yes | 60c | 510$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.42 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 30c | 500.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 45c | 463.02$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.97 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 40c | 366.85$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.66 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 34c | 345.26$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.39 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 46c | 312$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.26 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 45c | 303.3$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.68 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 66c | 302.37$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 296.48$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.11 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 67c | 284.13$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.94 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 28c | 261.54$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.97 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yes | 14c | 248.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 30c | 248$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…f749backed Yes | 36c | 213$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.33 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 61c | 202.56$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Yes | 27c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Yes | 25c | 192$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 26c | 185.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 44c | 164.11$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…b9b3backed Yes | 41c | 158.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Yes | 40c | 150.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 24c | 142.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6199…2852backed Yes | 39c | 128.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6861…b317backed No | 76c | 122.2$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +102%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 37c | 107.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.17 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 23c | 82.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…e39dbacked Yes | 29c | 73.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 25c | 61.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 25c | 61.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf896…8704backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a8…ec90backed Yes | 30c | 57.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Yes | 31c | 56.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 73c | 55.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b0…85f8backed Yes | 34c | 55.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 73c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 45.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…4ee7backed Yes | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed No | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 74cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 31c | 37.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Yes | 29c | 36.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 59c | 36.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 52c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…0986backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3838…2c6fbacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 40c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-07-26?Yes won
- Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.