South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e8b2baf2c88772cd320f9e0178f74508c0f29d503ca33cc6671eb89e9ec997d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 44c | 9,514$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,180.14 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 59c | 9,103$5,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,732.24 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 57c | 4,592$2,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.36 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 59c | 3,789$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.1 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 74c | 2,180$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.29 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 2,000$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.34 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed Yes | 58c | 1,968$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.7 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 1,538$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.87 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 1,378$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.65 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 45c | 1,195$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.53 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,169$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.04 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d6…d1e3backed No | 74c | 865.85$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 42c | 786.95$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.28 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 42c | 700$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 63c | 636.46$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.46 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 27c | 620.14$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.07 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 62c | 565$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.58 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 13c | 538.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 43c | 488.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.88 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked No | 43c | 370.03$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.11 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed No | 42c | 336$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 38c | 335.15$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.01 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 44c | 313.43$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.23 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed No | 17c | 276.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 47c | 246.83$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.64 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Yes | 44c | 237.88$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.34 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 29c | 234.15$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 40c | 230$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 41c | 214$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.74 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…8529backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 24c | 160.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 12c | 147.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 74c | 126.87$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.87 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 43c | 119.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…f05dbacked Yes | 27c | 112.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ec…40edbacked Yes | 60c | 109.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.69 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Yes | 44c | 102.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.17 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 43c | 101.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 59c | 93.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 73c | 92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 48c | 88.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 32c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 44c | 63.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 39c | 58.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 42c | 51.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…8f5dbacked Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 42c | 48.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 41c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…0c59backed No | 46c | 45.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 57c | 38.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked No | 61c | 38.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 41c | 36.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 50c | 35.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb969…b985backed Yes | 38c | 34.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +48%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked No | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 64c | 26.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked Yes | 65c | 25.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 45c | 25.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7101…eedcbacked Yes | 58c | 21.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 76c | 19.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0205…7e88backed Yes | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Atlas FC vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?No won
- Will Atlas FC win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.