Tennis · resolved market
Sarasota: Kei Nishikori vs Nicolas Kicker
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e406e70271ac46febbfa970f9d3a2fd8dc31cf5dbaaeb073d211a2c4939d6d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kei Nishikoriof Kei Nishikori, Nicolas Kicker
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nicolas Kicker | 10c | 7,681$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.64 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…ee5abacked Nicolas Kicker | 21c | 1,513$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.99 | 148 | 22.3%33 W · 115 L | -14.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Nicolas Kicker | 15c | 1,463$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.09 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Kei Nishikori | 65c | 1,380$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.04 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Kei Nishikori | 67c | 1,354$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.08 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…468bbacked Kei Nishikori | 66c | 1,100$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nicolas Kicker | 12c | 1,013$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.77 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…dd6bbacked Kei Nishikori | 65c | 969.3$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.25 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Nicolas Kicker | 33c | 863.82$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.06 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nicolas Kicker | 14c | 845.45$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.95 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Kei Nishikori | 66c | 841.35$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.06 | 322 | 47.2%152 W · 170 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Kei Nishikori | 67c | 836.25$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.96 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Nicolas Kicker | 34c | 706.18$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.1 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Nicolas Kicker | 33c | 424.01$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…9404backed Nicolas Kicker | 34c | 394.86$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Kei Nishikori | 68c | 387.01$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.62 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Kei Nishikori | 66c | 364.89$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.06 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…3319backed Kei Nishikori | 67c | 336.49$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.04 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Nicolas Kicker | 18c | 335.83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Nicolas Kicker | 34c | 330.86$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.49 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Nicolas Kicker | 33c | 297.54$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.19 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Kei Nishikori | 66c | 296.85$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Nicolas Kicker | 16c | 292.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kei Nishikori | 80c | 245.59$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Nicolas Kicker | 31c | 230.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.32 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nicolas Kicker | 20c | 214.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Nicolas Kicker | 15c | 209.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 292 | 41.8%122 W · 170 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Nicolas Kicker | 33c | 164.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…f158backed Kei Nishikori | 66c | 163.27$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Nicolas Kicker | 25c | 160.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Nicolas Kicker | 32c | 159.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Kei Nishikori | 67c | 146.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Nicolas Kicker | 34c | 135.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Kei Nishikori | 72c | 130.22$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Nicolas Kicker | 33c | 123.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Nicolas Kicker | 33c | 114.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…f894backed Nicolas Kicker | 31c | 109.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 87 | 24.1%21 W · 66 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Nicolas Kicker | 33c | 107.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 292 | 30.5%89 W · 203 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nicolas Kicker | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…e020backed Kei Nishikori | 70c | 98.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 347 | 61.1%212 W · 135 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Kei Nishikori | 66c | 97.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b5…5b6abacked Nicolas Kicker | 35c | 91.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed Kei Nishikori | 67c | 87.78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Kei Nishikori | 68c | 87.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked Kei Nishikori | 66c | 87.04$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Nicolas Kicker | 19c | 85.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Kei Nishikori | 79c | 85.37$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Nicolas Kicker | 34c | 84.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…04b7backed Kei Nishikori | 66c | 81.63$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…dfb9backed Nicolas Kicker | 33c | 78.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Kei Nishikori | 67c | 72.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 386 | 64%247 W · 139 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Nicolas Kicker | 33c | 67.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 299 | 47.5%142 W · 157 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nicolas Kicker | 23c | 66.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Kei Nishikori | 67c | 58.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 337 | 47.2%159 W · 178 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f31…2749backed Nicolas Kicker | 33c | 57.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b81…68bebacked Kei Nishikori | 66c | 51.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Kei Nishikori | 70c | 50.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Nicolas Kicker | 33c | 49.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…6b0fbacked Kei Nishikori | 66c | 37.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4d…cc46backed Kei Nishikori | 66c | 37.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…3fa9backed Kei Nishikori | 66c | 37.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Kei Nishikori | 66c | 37.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb91…f1edbacked Kei Nishikori | 67c | 36.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…15f7backed Nicolas Kicker | 33c | 35.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…26f2backed Kei Nishikori | 67c | 29.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Kei Nishikori | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 167 | 62.3%104 W · 63 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Kei Nishikori | 68c | 28.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Kei Nishikori | 67c | 28.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…8263backed Kei Nishikori | 66c | 22.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…9936backed Kei Nishikori | 66c | 22.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2238…e069backed Kei Nishikori | 66c | 22.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571d…a673backed Kei Nishikori | 67c | 21.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…f5a9backed Kei Nishikori | 66c | 17.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…8237backed Kei Nishikori | 66c | 16.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 165 | 60%99 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Kei Nishikori | 66c | 15.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Kei Nishikori | 67c | 15.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.