TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2238…e069

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
123
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT7757.1%44 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Magic (-11.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.22
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.04
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.07
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.75
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72.06
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$19.79
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$35.69
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+92.9%+$42.08
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$12.04
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$18.82
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.49
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.17
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.38
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$23.45
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$13.95
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.37
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.6
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$11.44
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.54
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.12
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.79
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.53
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.45
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.13
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.55
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
Chicago White Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-67.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-63.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.29
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.56
Flames vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$10.75
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+66.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.66
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$17.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+193.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+193.6%+$21.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+56.8%+$6.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africabacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.